Highway or byway? The National Development Plan 2030
Summary
This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies evaluates the feasibility of the economic and human development targets established in South Africa's National Development Plan 2030, arguing that the core growth targets are highly ambitious and require structural economic changes to be successful.
Key insights
- The National Development Plan 2030 sets a core economic growth target of 5.4 per cent average gross domestic product, as well as specific targets for income per capita and the overall size of the economy, which the authors describe as very ambitious. Achieving these goals would require clear leadership, painful adjustments, and a significant effort from diverse interest groups and communities.
- The current economic growth model in South Africa is characterized as capital-intensive and is deemed insufficient for creating enough jobs unless structural changes are made to the economy and existing policies.
- While the primary economic growth targets are ambitious, other targets within the plan, specifically those related to infrastructure and education, are considered achievable even with lower rates of economic growth.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Cilliers, J., & Camp, H. (2013). Highway or byway? The National Development Plan 2030. Institute for Security Studies. https://issafrica.org/research/papers/highway-or-byway-the-national-development-plan-2030
- Chicago
- Cilliers, Jakkie, and Hanna Camp. Highway or byway? The National Development Plan 2030. Institute for Security Studies, 2013. https://issafrica.org/research/papers/highway-or-byway-the-national-development-plan-2030.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |last1=Cilliers |first1=Jakkie |last2=Camp |first2=Hanna |title=Highway or byway? The National Development Plan 2030 |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=2013 |url=https://issafrica.org/research/papers/highway-or-byway-the-national-development-plan-2030 |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{cilliers2013highway, author = {Cilliers, Jakkie and Camp, Hanna}, title = {{Highway or byway? The National Development Plan 2030}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2013}, url = {https://issafrica.org/research/papers/highway-or-byway-the-national-development-plan-2030}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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