Highway or byway? The National Development Plan 2030

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The document evaluates the National Development Plan 2030, arguing that its core economic growth target of 5.4 per cent average GDP is very ambitious and requires significant structural changes and leadership to achieve. It notes that while some sectoral targets in education and infrastructure are attainable with lower growth, the current capital-intensive economic model is insufficient for job creation and addressing structural inequality.

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  • The National Development Plan 2030's core economic growth target of 5.4 per cent average gross domestic product, as well as targets for economy size and income per capita, are considered very ambitious. Achieving these would require clear leadership, painful adjustments, and a huge effort from diverse interest groups and communities.
  • South Africa's current capital-intensive economic growth model is unable to provide enough jobs without implementing structural changes to the economy and existing policies.
  • Certain targets within the plan, specifically those related to infrastructure and education, remain achievable even if economic growth rates are lower.

Cite the original document

APA
Cilliers, J., & Camp, H. (2013). Highway or byway? The National Development Plan 2030. Institute for Security Studies. https://issafrica.org/research/papers/highway-or-byway-the-national-development-plan-2030
Chicago
Cilliers, Jakkie, and Hanna Camp. Highway or byway? The National Development Plan 2030. Institute for Security Studies, 2013. https://issafrica.org/research/papers/highway-or-byway-the-national-development-plan-2030.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Cilliers |first1=Jakkie |last2=Camp |first2=Hanna |title=Highway or byway? The National Development Plan 2030 |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=2013 |url=https://issafrica.org/research/papers/highway-or-byway-the-national-development-plan-2030 |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{cilliers2013highway, author = {Cilliers, Jakkie and Camp, Hanna}, title = {{Highway or byway? The National Development Plan 2030}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2013}, url = {https://issafrica.org/research/papers/highway-or-byway-the-national-development-plan-2030}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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