Chad two years later: little progress, plenty to worry about

This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies evaluates the state of Chad's political transition two years after the death of President Idriss Déby Itno. The authors argue that while the transition aimed to restore constitutional order and civilian rule, progress has been minimal, with the process remaining dominated by transitional authorities and lacking genuine inclusiveness.

• Two years into the transition initiated after the death of President Idriss Déby Itno, there are few indications that power will be transferred to civilians or that constitutional order will be restored in the near future. While commissions to organize a constitutional referendum and draft a new constitution were established in January 2023, these bodies are largely controlled by transitional authorities and lack representation from the broader national political community.
• Efforts toward national reconciliation, including the Doha talks and the Inclusive and Sovereign National Dialogue, failed to include several key figures from civil society, the political sector, and rebel movements. The conclusion of the dialogue in October 2022 led to bloody protests against the resulting resolutions.
• Security instability persists with active rebel groups in the far north, including the Front for Change and Concord in Chad, the Military Command Council for the Salvation of the Republic, and the Miski self-defence group. Additionally, the Movement for the Revolution of the South has reportedly formed near the border with the Central African Republic, and community clashes remain violent, with one incident from 15-19 April resulting in 23 deaths in less than 48 hours.
• International partners, specifically France, the African Union (AU), and the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS), have prioritized stability over democratic standards, effectively supporting an unconstitutional power grab. France has focused on military cooperation to stop rebel convoys with little emphasis on human rights, while the AU's tolerant stance has resulted in a loss of control over the transition process.

APA

Hoinathy, R., & Bétinbaye, Y. (2023). Chad two years later: little progress, plenty to worry about. Institute for Security Studies. https://issafrica.org/iss-today/chad-two-years-later-little-progress-plenty-to-worry-about

Chicago

Hoinathy, Remadji, and Yamingué Bétinbaye. Chad two years later: little progress, plenty to worry about. Institute for Security Studies, 2023. https://issafrica.org/iss-today/chad-two-years-later-little-progress-plenty-to-worry-about.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Hoinathy |first1=Remadji |last2=Bétinbaye |first2=Yamingué |title=Chad two years later: little progress, plenty to worry about |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=April 2023 |url=https://issafrica.org/iss-today/chad-two-years-later-little-progress-plenty-to-worry-about |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{hoinathy2023chad, author = {Hoinathy, Remadji and Bétinbaye, Yamingué}, title = {{Chad two years later: little progress, plenty to worry about}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2023}, month = apr, url = {https://issafrica.org/iss-today/chad-two-years-later-little-progress-plenty-to-worry-about}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }