The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040

The document outlines three alternative development scenarios for Tunisia—Going for Growth, Leapfrogging, and Sustainability & Equality—to contrast with a 'Current Path' forecast. It identifies five foundational reforms essential for progress across all scenarios: improved business regulation, increased economic freedom, reduced corruption, better primary and secondary education, and the reduction of subsidies for wealthier households.

• Tunisia's progress toward a more prosperous future depends on five foundational reforms: improved governance (specifically better business regulation, more economic freedom, and less corruption), improved quality of primary and secondary education, and a reduction in subsidies to wealthier households.
• The report models three specific alternative strategies for development: 'Going for Growth', 'Leapfrogging', and 'Sustainability & Equality'.
• The implementation timelines for the foundational reforms are modeled as a five-year push for governance, a ten-year sustained push for education, and a gradual implementation of subsidy reform continuing until 2040, with all interventions starting in 2020.

APA

Cilliers, J., & Kwasi, S. (2026). The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/tunisia&topic=11-scenarios

Chicago

Cilliers, Jakkie, and Stellah Kwasi. The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/tunisia&topic=11-scenarios.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Cilliers |first1=Jakkie |last2=Kwasi |first2=Stellah |title=The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040 |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/tunisia&topic=11-scenarios |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{cilliers2026rebirth, author = {Cilliers, Jakkie and Kwasi, Stellah}, title = {{The Rebirth: Tunisia’s potential development pathways to 2040}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/special-reports/guide.pdf?report=country/tunisia&topic=11-scenarios}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }