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This report provides policy recommendations for Libya to transition from fragility to stability, focusing on governance reform, security sector restructuring, economic diversification away from oil, and decentralization of power.

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  • Libya faces a significant governance deficit characterized by institutional fragmentation and corruption following the 2011 collapse of central authority. Addressing this requires national reconciliation, political dialogue, and the establishment of robust institutions, including judicial reforms and transparent state revenue management, to ensure stability regardless of leadership changes.
  • Security sector reform is urgent due to the proliferation of armed groups. The report recommends a sequenced disarmament, demobilisation and reintegration (DDR) programme to reduce militia power, alongside improved border management to stop the flow of arms, extremist activity, and human trafficking.
  • To reduce its overreliance on hydrocarbons, Libya should prioritize economic diversification into service industries, infrastructure, renewable energy, and agro-processing. This must be accompanied by greater transparency in the Central Bank and the National Oil Corporation to ensure equitable wealth distribution, as well as vocational training to combat acute youth unemployment.
  • Decentralization is proposed as a means to increase resilience by shifting power and resources from fragile central institutions to municipalities. Providing local authorities with technical capacity and financial autonomy would improve the delivery of healthcare, education, and infrastructure.
  • International support must be coordinated through a common framework involving the European Union, African Union, and United Nations to avoid competing agendas. While humanitarian aid for flood-affected communities and displaced persons is vital, long-term focus should be on institutional resilience, with elections held only when security conditions make them feasible.

Cite the original document

APA
-1 (2026). Libya: Conclusion and Recommendations. Institute for Security Studies. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=LY&topic=05-conclusion
Chicago
-1. Libya: Conclusion and Recommendations. Institute for Security Studies, 2026. https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=LY&topic=05-conclusion.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=-1 |title=Libya: Conclusion and Recommendations |publisher=Institute for Security Studies |date=31 May 2026 |url=https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=LY&topic=05-conclusion |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{12026libya, author = {-1}, title = {{Libya: Conclusion and Recommendations}}, institution = {Institute for Security Studies}, year = {2026}, month = may, url = {https://futures.issafrica.org/geographic/guide.pdf?geography=LY&topic=05-conclusion}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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