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A collaboration between University College London and the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) asserts that existing fossil fuel capacity is sufficient to meet energy demand under 1.5°C-aligned scenarios. The authors propose a "No New Fossil Fuels" norm as a politically and legally feasible first step toward a full transition, noting that peer-reviewed science indicates no room for new oil and gas fields or coal- and gas-fired power plants.

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  • Analysis of various modelled scenarios limiting climate change to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels indicates that existing fossil fuel capacity is enough to meet energy demand during the transition to renewable energy, meaning new projects are unnecessary.
  • The research, which expands on International Energy Agency findings and UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Sixth Assessment Report scenarios, concludes that neither new fossil fuel extraction nor new coal- and gas-fired power generation is required to limit warming to 1.5°C.
  • Implementing a ban on new fossil fuel development is presented as a more viable initial step for the energy transition than the early closure of existing operational projects from political, economic, and legal perspectives.

Cite the original document

APA
Pye,, F. G. B. V. K. M. (2024). No New Fossil Fuel Projects: The norm we need. International Institute for Sustainable Development. https://www.iisd.org/publications/brief/no-new-fossil-fuel-projects-norm-we-need
Chicago
Pye,, Fergus Green,Olivier Bois von Kursk,Greg Muttitt,Steve. No New Fossil Fuel Projects: The norm we need. International Institute for Sustainable Development, 2024. https://www.iisd.org/publications/brief/no-new-fossil-fuel-projects-norm-we-need.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Pye, |first1=Fergus Green,Olivier Bois von Kursk,Greg Muttitt,Steve |title=No New Fossil Fuel Projects: The norm we need |publisher=International Institute for Sustainable Development |date=30 May 2024 |url=https://www.iisd.org/publications/brief/no-new-fossil-fuel-projects-norm-we-need |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{pye2024new, author = {Pye,, Fergus Green,Olivier Bois von Kursk,Greg Muttitt,Steve}, title = {{No New Fossil Fuel Projects: The norm we need}}, institution = {International Institute for Sustainable Development}, year = {2024}, month = may, url = {https://www.iisd.org/publications/brief/no-new-fossil-fuel-projects-norm-we-need}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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