iai-cop-5-directorate-report-annex4-e85f1ba4dab45ae6.pdf

This report describes a series of three regional workshops held between October 1997 and January 1998 to provide climate outlooks and design pilot application projects to mitigate the socioeconomic disruptions caused by the 1997-98 El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO).

• A partnership involving the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI), NOAA, WMO, and the International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate Prediction conducted three 3-day meetings between October 1997 and January 1998 in Lima, Peru; Montevideo, Uruguay; and Fortaleza, Brazil. These meetings aimed to provide probabilistic seasonal forecast information to help governments and managers in climate-sensitive sectors reduce socioeconomic disruption from the 1997-98 El Niño.
• The workshops brought together climate scientists and potential users to create consensus regional precipitation forecasts and design pilot application projects for sectors including health, agriculture, fisheries, disaster management, and water resources.
• For Pacific South America (December 1997 to March 1998), forecasts predicted above-normal rainfall along the coast of Ecuador and northern Peru, while drier than normal conditions were expected in eastern Ecuador, Colombia, northern Peru (especially northwest Colombia), and the altiplano region of southeast Peru and western Bolivia.
• For Southeast South America (January to March 1998), above-normal rainfall was forecast for southern Paraguay, southwestern southern Brazil, western Uruguay, and northeastern Argentina. Dry conditions were forecast for northwestern Argentina, with average conditions expected immediately to the east.
• For Northeast South America (February to May 1998), most regions had an enhanced probability of drier than normal conditions, specifically the northern parts of Northeast Brazil (including eastern Maranhco, Piaum, Ceara, Rio Grande do Norte, Paramba, Pemambuco, and northern Bahia). Exceptions included southwestern coastal Colombia and southern parts of Northeast Brazil (Bahia).

APA

Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (n.d.). iai-cop-5-directorate-report-annex4-e85f1ba4dab45ae6.pdf. https://archive.iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/iai-cop-5-directorate-report-annex4.pdf

Chicago

Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research. iai-cop-5-directorate-report-annex4-e85f1ba4dab45ae6.pdf. n.d. https://archive.iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/iai-cop-5-directorate-report-annex4.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research |title=iai-cop-5-directorate-report-annex4-e85f1ba4dab45ae6.pdf |url=https://archive.iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/iai-cop-5-directorate-report-annex4.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{interamericaninstituteforglobalchangeresearchndiaicop5directoratereportannex4e85f1ba4dab45ae6pdf, author = {{Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research}}, title = {{iai-cop-5-directorate-report-annex4-e85f1ba4dab45ae6.pdf}}, institution = {Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research}, url = {https://archive.iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/iai-cop-5-directorate-report-annex4.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }