Regional El Niño Workshops
Summary
Between October 1997 and January 1998, the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (IAI) and partners conducted three regional workshops in Lima, Peru; Montevideo, Uruguay; and Fortaleza, Brazil. These meetings aimed to use probabilistic seasonal forecast information to reduce socioeconomic disruption caused by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The workshops involved climate scientists and stakeholders from sectors such as health, agriculture, and fisheries to create regional precipitation forecasts and design pilot application projects. Specific forecasts for the 1997-98 period predicted above-normal rainfall for coastal Ecuador and northern Peru, while predicting drier than normal conditions for most of northeast South America, including northern parts of Northeast Brazil.
Key insights
- Regional pilot application projects were designed for sectors including health, agriculture, fisheries, disaster management, and water resources, with proposals submitted to various funding sources.
- The precipitation forecast for Pacific South America (December 1997 to March 1998) predicted above-normal rainfall for the coast of Ecuador and northern Peru, but drier than normal conditions for eastern Ecuador, Colombia, northern Peru, and the altiplano region of southeast Peru and western Bolivia.
- The forecast for Southeast South America (January to March 1998) predicted above-normal rainfall in southern Paraguay, southwestern southern Brazil, western Uruguay, and northeastern Argentina, while northwestern Argentina was forecast to be dry.
- The forecast for Northeast South America (February to May 1998) indicated an enhanced probability of drier than normal conditions for most regions, particularly in northern parts of Northeast Brazil, except for southwestern coastal Colombia and southern parts of Northeast Brazil (Bahia).
Cite the original document
- APA
- Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research (1998). Regional El Niño Workshops. https://archive.iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/iai-cop-5-directorate-report-annex4.pdf
- Chicago
- Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research. Regional El Niño Workshops. 1998. https://archive.iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/iai-cop-5-directorate-report-annex4.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research |title=Regional El Niño Workshops |date=28 April 1998 |url=https://archive.iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/iai-cop-5-directorate-report-annex4.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{interamericaninstituteforglobalchangeresearch1998regional, author = {{Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research}}, title = {{Regional El Niño Workshops}}, institution = {Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research}, year = {1998}, month = apr, url = {https://archive.iai.int/admin/site/sites/default/files/iai-cop-5-directorate-report-annex4.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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