Pour une stratégie européenne de désescalade nucléaire
Summary
The author examines the tension between maintaining the US-led 'nuclear sharing' system and pursuing European strategic autonomy. While some propose a Franco-German nuclear cooperation to replace the US umbrella, the author warns against European militarism and instead advocates for a diplomatic strategy of preventive denuclearization, drawing on the Rapacki Plan to reduce nuclear stockpiles in Europe and move toward a world without nuclear weapons.
Key insights
- The concept of 'European strategic autonomy' is currently being tested by debates over whether to modernize the NATO nuclear deterrence system or replace it with Franco-German cooperation.
- US security guarantees for European allies have shifted from an 'unconditional' political alliance to a 'purely transactional' arrangement under President Donald Trump, making American protection 'precarious and revocable'.
- European member states lack consensus on defense; neutral countries (Sweden, Ireland, Austria) favor civilian crisis management, Baltic states and Poland remain strongly pro-NATO, and others like Italy and Spain maintain a dual loyalty to both NATO and the EU.
- Regarding German nuclear options, the most probable scenario is for Germany to contribute to the French air component, potentially replacing US nuclear warheads stored in Germany, the Netherlands, Belgium, and Italy.
- The author argues that France must extend its 'nuclear umbrella' to Europe to maintain the credibility of its own deterrence system and avoid it being viewed as a 'Cold War relic'.
- To avoid military escalation with Russia, the EU should pursue a strategy of preventive denuclearization, which includes adopting the Danish posture of refusing nuclear weapons on its territory and accelerating the removal of US warheads from Kleine-Brogel (Belgium) and Volkel (Netherlands).
Cite the original document
- APA
- Blanc, B. C. F. (2018). Pour une stratégie européenne de désescalade nucléaire. Green European Journal. https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/pour-une-strategie-europeenne-de-desescalade-nucleaire/
- Chicago
- Blanc, Ben Cramer, Félix. Pour une stratégie européenne de désescalade nucléaire. Green European Journal, 2018. https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/pour-une-strategie-europeenne-de-desescalade-nucleaire/.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |last1=Blanc |first1=Ben Cramer, Félix |title=Pour une stratégie européenne de désescalade nucléaire |publisher=Green European Journal |date=9 July 2018 |url=https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/pour-une-strategie-europeenne-de-desescalade-nucleaire/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{blanc2018pour, author = {Blanc, Ben Cramer, Félix}, title = {{Pour une stratégie européenne de désescalade nucléaire}}, institution = {Green European Journal}, year = {2018}, month = jul, url = {https://www.greeneuropeanjournal.eu/pour-une-strategie-europeenne-de-desescalade-nucleaire/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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