La expansión del GNL socava los objetivos de la transición energética

Colombia is planning LNG import capacity that could exceed double its projected 2030 gas demand, potentially creating stranded assets and hindering its energy transition. While the country faces a domestic gas deficit and energy security risks from El Niño and geopolitical tensions, the report argues that current and planned projects—such as the SPEC LNG expansion and the Puerto Bahía or Coveñas terminals—could satisfy demand without the need for the full suite of nine planned initiatives. The document emphasizes that prioritizing flexible, temporary LNG capacity while shifting investment toward renewables and energy efficiency would align with Colombia's international climate leadership and its roadmap to reduce fossil fuel dependence by 90% by 2050.

• Colombia's planned LNG import capacity for 2030 is approximately 2,500 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d), which is more than double the total gas demand projected by the government for that year.
• The Unidad de Planeación Minero Energética (UPME) estimates that normal gas demand will be around 1,000 MMcf/d by 2030, with a projected supply deficit increasing from 200 MMcf/d to 500 MMcf/d by the same date.
• Existing and advanced projects could meet nearly all of Colombia's 2030 demand; the SPEC LNG terminal in Cartagena already provides 425 MMcf/d and will expand by 58 MMcf/d by 2027, while the Puerto Bahía and Coveñas FSRU projects aim to supply 400 MMpc/d by 2029 and 2030 respectively.
• Industrial gas consumption in Colombia fell by 28% in the first four months of 2026, with users switching to liquefied petroleum gas (GLP), coal, sugarcane bagasse, and fuel oil due to local shortages and high LNG prices.
• Colombia has a roadmap to reduce its fossil fuel dependence and emissions by 90% by 2050 through energy efficiency, renewable generation with storage, and electrification.

APA

Llano, A. (2026). La expansión del GNL socava los objetivos de la transición energética. Global Energy Monitor. https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-06/Colombia%27s%20planned%20gas%20glut%20brief%20-%20Spanish.pdf

Chicago

Llano, Amalia. La expansión del GNL socava los objetivos de la transición energética. Global Energy Monitor, 2026. https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-06/Colombia%27s%20planned%20gas%20glut%20brief%20-%20Spanish.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Llano |first1=Amalia |title=La expansión del GNL socava los objetivos de la transición energética |publisher=Global Energy Monitor |date=11 June 2026 |url=https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-06/Colombia%27s%20planned%20gas%20glut%20brief%20-%20Spanish.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{llano2026expansin, author = {Llano, Amalia}, title = {{La expansión del GNL socava los objetivos de la transición energética}}, institution = {Global Energy Monitor}, year = {2026}, month = jun, url = {https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/2026-06/Colombia%27s%20planned%20gas%20glut%20brief%20-%20Spanish.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }