Bùng nổ và thoái trào
Summary
In 2018, global coal power growth indicators declined for the third consecutive year, with new construction capacity falling 39% compared to 2017. While China and India saw record lows in new permits, China remained an outlier by resuming construction on previously frozen projects. The United States led the world in plant closures, recording 17.6 GW of decommissioned capacity. The report highlights that meeting IPCC climate goals of 1.5°C to 2°C requires a rapid phase-out of coal, yet China's China Electricity Council has proposed increasing its coal capacity limit to 1,300 GW by 2030. In India, coal is facing stiff competition from cheaper solar and wind energy, while Vietnam has seen the fastest growth in coal capacity among countries with over 4 GW, though it is facing increasing public opposition and financial tightening from Japanese banks.
Key insights
- Global coal power growth indicators declined for the third consecutive year in 2018, with new construction capacity dropping 39% from 2017 and 84% from 2015.
- The United States experienced the highest level of coal plant closures in 2018, with 17.6 GW of capacity shut down, despite efforts by the Trump administration to maintain older plants.
- China is a global exception to the downward trend, having resumed construction on over 50 GW of previously frozen projects in 2018 and proposing a capacity limit increase to 1,300 GW by 2030.
- India has seen a drastic reduction in new coal permits, with only 3 GW approved in 2018 compared to 39 GW in 2010, as solar and wind energy capacity additions now outpace coal.
- Vietnam has the fastest growth rate of coal capacity among countries with over 4 GW, adding 13 GW (a 75% increase) over five years, though it faces public opposition and reduced funding from Japanese banks.
- To limit global warming to 1.5°C, the IPCC estimates that coal power production must be reduced by 70% by 2030 and completely eliminated by 2050.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Shearer, C., Mathew-Shah, N., Myllyvirta, L., Yu, A., & Nace, T. (2019). Bùng nổ và thoái trào. Global Energy Monitor. https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/migration/reports/2803-BoomAndBust_2019_VNI_Final_11.pdf
- Chicago
- Shearer, Christine, Neha Mathew-Shah, Lauri Myllyvirta, Aiqun Yu, and Ted Nace. Bùng nổ và thoái trào. Global Energy Monitor, 2019. https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/migration/reports/2803-BoomAndBust_2019_VNI_Final_11.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |last1=Shearer |first1=Christine |last2=Mathew-Shah |first2=Neha |last3=Myllyvirta |first3=Lauri |last4=Yu |first4=Aiqun |last5=Nace |first5=Ted |title=Bùng nổ và thoái trào |publisher=Global Energy Monitor |date=March 2019 |url=https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/migration/reports/2803-BoomAndBust_2019_VNI_Final_11.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{shearer2019bng, author = {Shearer, Christine and Mathew-Shah, Neha and Myllyvirta, Lauri and Yu, Aiqun and Nace, Ted}, title = {{Bùng nổ và thoái trào}}, institution = {Global Energy Monitor}, year = {2019}, month = mar, url = {https://globalenergymonitor.org/sites/default/files/migration/reports/2803-BoomAndBust_2019_VNI_Final_11.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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