Strengthening national capacities and systems for anticipatory action and climate change adaptation in Indonesia
Summary
The project aims to reduce the vulnerability of Indonesian populations to climate hazards by shifting from post-hoc disaster response to a proactive model of anticipatory action. It focuses on two primary outcomes: establishing a national Forecast-Based Financing (FbF) system and strengthening 'Last Mile Climate Services' (LMCS) to ensure climate information reaches local communities. The project will be implemented by the World Food Programme (WFP) over four years, with a specific local roll-out and pilot in the East Nusa Tenggara (NTT) province. Total indicative costs are USD 8,704,500, with USD 7,140,000 requested as a grant from the GCF.
Key insights
- Indonesia faces significant climate vulnerability, with 40% of its population already at risk from impacts. Climate-related disasters between 1998 and 2018 were dominated by flooding (39%), heavy wind/storm (26%), landslides (22%), and droughts (8%).
- Climate change is projected to severely impact Indonesian food security, specifically rice production. Projections indicate yield decreases ranging from 4% per year to a total of 16.5% between 2000 and 2080, with every 1°C temperature increase causing yield losses of 1.3 million metric tons.
- The project proposes a paradigm shift in disaster risk management (DRM) from responding to disasters post hoc to engaging in 'well-targeted early and anticipatory action' based on impact-based information.
- A central component of the project is the development of a Forecast-Based Financing (FbF) system, which releases financial resources based on specific forecast thresholds to implement pre-determined anticipatory actions before a disaster reaches a 'danger level'.
- The project will implement 'Last Mile Climate Services' (LMCS) to bridge the gap between national meteorological data and local users. This involves using knowledge intermediaries such as religious institutions, schools, NGOs, and local radio operators in East Nusa Tenggara to ensure information reaches the most vulnerable.
- East Nusa Tenggara (NTT) is designated as the priority area for local operationalization and piloting due to its high poverty, food insecurity, and high stunting rates, with 80% of its population relying on subsistence-based rainfall-irrigated agriculture.
- The project targets 525,000 direct beneficiaries and 5.3 million indirect beneficiaries, representing approximately 20% of Indonesia's total population.
- The total indicative project cost is USD 8,704,500, consisting of USD 7,140,000 in GCF grants and USD 1,249,500 in co-financing (grants and in-kind).
Cite the original document
- APA
- Green Climate Fund (2022). Strengthening national capacities and systems for anticipatory action and climate change adaptation in Indonesia. https://www.greenclimate.fund/sites/default/files/document/28110-strengthening-national-capacities-and-systems-anticipatory-action-and-climate-change_0.pdf
- Chicago
- Green Climate Fund. Strengthening national capacities and systems for anticipatory action and climate change adaptation in Indonesia. 2022. https://www.greenclimate.fund/sites/default/files/document/28110-strengthening-national-capacities-and-systems-anticipatory-action-and-climate-change_0.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=Green Climate Fund |title=Strengthening national capacities and systems for anticipatory action and climate change adaptation in Indonesia |date=5 August 2022 |url=https://www.greenclimate.fund/sites/default/files/document/28110-strengthening-national-capacities-and-systems-anticipatory-action-and-climate-change_0.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{greenclimatefund2022strengthening, author = {{Green Climate Fund}}, title = {{Strengthening national capacities and systems for anticipatory action and climate change adaptation in Indonesia}}, institution = {Green Climate Fund}, year = {2022}, month = aug, url = {https://www.greenclimate.fund/sites/default/files/document/28110-strengthening-national-capacities-and-systems-anticipatory-action-and-climate-change_0.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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