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The report finds that while renewable electricity generation in the EU is projected to nearly double by 2030, the region is not on track to meet the European Commission's recommended 55% emissions reduction. Seven countries—Belgium, Bulgaria, Czechia, Germany, Italy, Poland, and Romania—are identified as the primary barriers to the transition, collectively accounting for 80% of projected 2030 power sector emissions.

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  • Renewable electricity generation in the EU-27 is projected to grow by approximately 93% between 2018 and 2030, with wind and solar expected to provide nearly 60% of EU electricity by 2030.
  • The EU is not currently on track to achieve the European Commission's recommended 55% reduction in total emissions by 2030. To meet this target, wind and solar deployment plans must increase by one third, as current NECP commitments only deliver approximately 1250 TWh by 2030 compared to the required 1500 TWh.
  • Fossil fuels are projected to still generate about 25% of EU electricity by 2030. Coal power generation is expected to halve over the next decade, while there is no plan to reduce fossil gas.
  • Seven countries are identified as the main barriers to the EU electricity transition. Belgium, Bulgaria, Czechia, Romania, and Poland show limited or no progress, while Germany and Italy show slow progress. Together, these seven nations account for approximately 80% of projected 2030 power sector emissions.
  • Nuclear power generation in the EU-27 is expected to decrease by approximately 19% by 2030, falling from 762 TWh in 2018 to 619 TWh, largely driven by the mandatory phase-out of all nuclear plants in Germany by the end of 2022.

Cite the original document

APA
Moore, C. (2020). Vision or division? Ember. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2020/11/Vision-or-division-1.pdf
Chicago
Moore, Charles. Vision or division? Ember, 2020. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2020/11/Vision-or-division-1.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Moore |first1=Charles |title=Vision or division? |publisher=Ember |date=November 2020 |url=https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2020/11/Vision-or-division-1.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{moore2020vision, author = {Moore, Charles}, title = {{Vision or division?}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2020}, month = nov, url = {https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2020/11/Vision-or-division-1.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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