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Türkiye can reduce its reliance on imported fossil fuels for power generation from 50% in 2021 to less than 25% by 2030 by accelerating the deployment of solar and wind energy. Achieving this requires reaching 40 GW of solar and 30 GW of wind capacity by 2030, which would result in these sources providing 34-38% of total power generation. This transition is framed as a means to both achieve the 2053 net zero target and improve energy independence and trade balances.

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  • Türkiye's power generation was 50% dependent on imported coal and gas in 2021, a level of foreign dependence that has remained around 50% for the last 25 years, with exceptions in 2019 and 2020.
  • To reduce foreign dependence in power generation to less than 25% by 2030, Türkiye needs to reach a total solar power capacity of 40 GW and a total wind power capacity of at least 30 GW.
  • Achieving the 40 GW solar target requires adding 4 GW of new capacity annually through 2030, which is four times the recent deployment rate of approximately 1 GW per year, despite higher domestic manufacturing capacity and auction interest.
  • Reaching the 30 GW wind target requires adding approximately 2.5 GW of new capacity annually, which is significantly higher than the recent installation rate of about 1 GW per year.
  • If the 40 GW solar and 30 GW wind targets are met, these two sources would account for 34-38% of total power generation by 2030, up from 13.6% in 2021.
  • Türkiye ratified the Paris Agreement in 2021 and established a net zero target for 2053, but its 2015 emission reduction plan (INDC) is outdated and not aligned with this goal.
  • High reliance on energy imports contributed to a record monthly trade deficit in July 2022, with total deficits reaching $62 billion from January to July 2022.

Cite the original document

APA
Alparslan, U. (2022). Energy independence only comes with clean. Ember. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2022/10/Energy-independence-only-comes-with-clean.pdf
Chicago
Alparslan, Ufuk. Energy independence only comes with clean. Ember, 2022. https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2022/10/Energy-independence-only-comes-with-clean.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Alparslan |first1=Ufuk |title=Energy independence only comes with clean |publisher=Ember |date=4 October 2022 |url=https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2022/10/Energy-independence-only-comes-with-clean.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{alparslan2022energy, author = {Alparslan, Ufuk}, title = {{Energy independence only comes with clean}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2022}, month = oct, url = {https://ember-energy.org/app/uploads/2022/10/Energy-independence-only-comes-with-clean.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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