Tracking progress towards a global tripling of renewables

The world is currently ahead of the curve to triple renewable capacity by 2030 due to an average annual addition growth of 29% from 2023 to 2025. However, IEA forecasts suggest a potential shortfall, with the main case predicting only 9,530 GW by 2030 due to policy changes in the US and China, primarily driven by deficits in wind and hydro capacity.

• To reach the target of tripling renewables capacity from 2022 levels, annual additions needed to grow by 21% from 2023 to 2030. Actual growth from 2023 to 2025 averaged 29% annually, meaning that from 2026 to 2030, additions only need to increase by 12% per year to meet the goal.
• The IEA's Renewables 2025 main case forecast predicts a 15% shortfall from the 11 TW target, reaching only 9,530 GW by 2030. This slowdown is attributed mainly to policy changes in China and the US. Even the IEA's accelerated case falls short of the tripling goal, forecasting 10,400 GW by 2030.
• While solar energy is on track to meet the levels required for a global tripling, significant shortfalls are expected in wind and hydro. In the IEA main case, wind shows a shortfall of 739 GW and hydro a shortfall of 176 GW.

APA

Ember (2025). Tracking progress towards a global tripling of renewables. https://ember-energy.org/chapter/tracking-progress-towards-a-global-tripling-of-renewables/

Chicago

Ember. Tracking progress towards a global tripling of renewables. 2025. https://ember-energy.org/chapter/tracking-progress-towards-a-global-tripling-of-renewables/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Ember |title=Tracking progress towards a global tripling of renewables |date=6 November 2025 |url=https://ember-energy.org/chapter/tracking-progress-towards-a-global-tripling-of-renewables/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{ember2025tracking, author = {{Ember}}, title = {{Tracking progress towards a global tripling of renewables}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2025}, month = nov, url = {https://ember-energy.org/chapter/tracking-progress-towards-a-global-tripling-of-renewables/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }