Measuring the impact of policy changes

The report outlines how Ember updated its 2020 NECP assessment by incorporating policy changes announced between 2020 and 2022, including coal phase-outs and clean power commitments. It details the transformation of capacity targets into generation figures, the assumption that renewables replace fossil fuels (with specific exceptions for nuclear in Hungary), and the treatment of overproduction in countries like Denmark and France. The analysis identifies 19 governments that updated their renewables expansion or fossil fuel phase-out ambitions beyond their original National Energy and Climate Plans.

• Nineteen governments have updated their fossil fuel phase-outs or renewables expansion targets to be more ambitious than those originally set in their National Energy and Climate Plans.
• The analysis assumes that additional renewable energy generation replaces fossil fuels rather than nuclear energy, except in Hungary, where a nuclear program is used to achieve a high clean energy share.
• In Central and Eastern European countries including Croatia, Czechia, Slovenia, and Romania, it is assumed that renewables—rather than gas or nuclear—will replace decreasing coal generation, as new nuclear projects are unlikely to be commissioned by 2030.
• For countries where clean generation exceeds 100%, such as Denmark, the Netherlands, Sweden, and France, the analysis caps country generation at 100% and does not examine the potential for overproduction to decrease fossil generation in neighbouring countries.

APA

Ember (2022). Measuring the impact of policy changes. https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/eu-slashes-fossil-fuels

Chicago

Ember. Measuring the impact of policy changes. 2022. https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/eu-slashes-fossil-fuels.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Ember |title=Measuring the impact of policy changes |date=1 June 2022 |url=https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/eu-slashes-fossil-fuels |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{ember2022measuring, author = {{Ember}}, title = {{Measuring the impact of policy changes}}, institution = {Ember}, year = {2022}, month = jun, url = {https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/eu-slashes-fossil-fuels}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }