Expanding the EU's carbon market for aviation: study and briefing

The study evaluates three scenarios for the EU ETS in aviation: the European Commission's intra-European proposal, a 'semi scope' covering all departing flights, and a 'full scope' covering all incoming and departing flights. It finds that expanding the scope to all flights would reduce emissions by 113% compared to the Commission's proposal and generate significantly higher revenues—up to 107€ billion over 15 years—while carbon costs would remain a small fraction of airline operating costs. The document argues against reliance on the UN's Corsia offsetting scheme, citing its uncertainty and potential to reduce emission savings by 77% compared to expectations.

• Expanding the EU ETS scope beyond the European Commission's initial proposal would significantly increase emission reductions: applying it to departing flights reduces emissions by over 50% more, and applying it to all incoming and departing flights reduces them by 113%.
• The 'full scope' scenario combined with an immediate phase-out of free allocation would generate 107€ billion in revenue over 15 years, which is more than three times the 29€ billion projected under the European Commission's proposal.
• Carbon costs under the EU ETS represent a small portion of airline operating costs, reaching 5.5% for intra-EEA flights and 6.8% for extra-EEA flights in the full scope scenario.
• The UN's Corsia offsetting scheme is described as ineffective and uncertain, with the potential to result in 77% fewer emission savings than the European Commission expects.

APA

Carbon Market Watch (2022). Expanding the EU's carbon market for aviation: study and briefing. https://carbonmarketwatch.org/publications/expanding-the-eus-carbon-market-for-aviation-study-and-briefing/

Chicago

Carbon Market Watch. Expanding the EU's carbon market for aviation: study and briefing. 2022. https://carbonmarketwatch.org/publications/expanding-the-eus-carbon-market-for-aviation-study-and-briefing/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Carbon Market Watch |title=Expanding the EU's carbon market for aviation: study and briefing |date=2 June 2022 |url=https://carbonmarketwatch.org/publications/expanding-the-eus-carbon-market-for-aviation-study-and-briefing/ |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{carbonmarketwatch2022expanding, author = {{Carbon Market Watch}}, title = {{Expanding the EU's carbon market for aviation: study and briefing}}, institution = {Carbon Market Watch}, year = {2022}, month = jun, url = {https://carbonmarketwatch.org/publications/expanding-the-eus-carbon-market-for-aviation-study-and-briefing/}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }