O Impacto do Crédito do Programa ABC para a Recuperação de Pastagens: Evidências para o Cerrado

The study finds that the ABC Recuperação credit line has had modest effects on pasture recovery, with most areas remaining unchanged and severely degraded pastures showing little improvement. While some pasture was converted to agriculture, the program's contribution to the Plano ABC goal of recovering 15 million hectares by 2020 was estimated at a maximum of 2.5%. Technical assistance was identified as a critical factor for success, particularly for severely degraded areas. The report also notes that some areas were deforested immediately prior to receiving credit, suggesting a need for better ex-ante monitoring and the integration of risk management tools.

• The overall impact of the ABC Recuperação credit line on pasture recovery is modest; nearly 75% of the analyzed polygons remained unchanged four years after the credit was granted.
• The credit line failed to produce significant improvements in the most severely degraded pastures, characterized as 'low vigor' areas.
• Credit access is associated with a marginal reduction in total pasture area (averaging 3 percentage points), primarily through the conversion of higher-vigor pastures into agriculture or agriculture-livestock mosaics.
• Technical assistance is a decisive factor for effectiveness; polygons with technical assistance saw a significant reduction of 6 percentage points in degraded pasture area after four years, whereas those without it saw almost no change in vigor.
• There is evidence that some areas designated for pasture recovery were partially deforested for agricultural use in the six years preceding the credit grant, though this trend stopped after the credit was accessed.
• The ABC Recuperação credit line's contribution to the Plano ABC goal of recovering 15 million hectares of degraded pasture by 2020 is estimated at a maximum of 2.5%, considering the conversion of pasture to other uses.
• The success of pasture recovery varies by soil type, with stronger effects observed in areas where Plintossolos are predominant, particularly in Mato Grosso, Tocantins, and Maranhão.

APA

Oliveira, W., Souza, P., & Assunção, J. (2024). O Impacto do Crédito do Programa ABC para a Recuperação de Pastagens: Evidências para o Cerrado. Climate Policy Initiative. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/O-Impacto-do-Credito-do-Programa-ABC-para-a-Recuperacao-de-Pastagens.pdf

Chicago

Oliveira, Wagner, Priscila Souza, and Juliano Assunção. O Impacto do Crédito do Programa ABC para a Recuperação de Pastagens: Evidências para o Cerrado. Climate Policy Initiative, 2024. https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/O-Impacto-do-Credito-do-Programa-ABC-para-a-Recuperacao-de-Pastagens.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Oliveira |first1=Wagner |last2=Souza |first2=Priscila |last3=Assunção |first3=Juliano |title=O Impacto do Crédito do Programa ABC para a Recuperação de Pastagens: Evidências para o Cerrado |publisher=Climate Policy Initiative |date=August 2024 |url=https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/O-Impacto-do-Credito-do-Programa-ABC-para-a-Recuperacao-de-Pastagens.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{oliveira2024impacto, author = {Oliveira, Wagner and Souza, Priscila and Assunção, Juliano}, title = {{O Impacto do Crédito do Programa ABC para a Recuperação de Pastagens: Evidências para o Cerrado}}, institution = {Climate Policy Initiative}, year = {2024}, month = aug, url = {https://www.climatepolicyinitiative.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/O-Impacto-do-Credito-do-Programa-ABC-para-a-Recuperacao-de-Pastagens.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }