Vulnerabilidad y resiliencia al aumento del nivel del mar de los humedales costeros de los Estados Unidos

The report analyzes the future of US coastal wetlands under various sea-level rise and development scenarios. It finds that wetlands can either expand by 25% or decrease by 97% by 2100, depending on human decisions regarding land conservation for migration and the rate of vertical growth. Louisiana, North Carolina, and Texas are identified as high-risk areas. The document emphasizes that preserving undeveloped land (refuges) is the most critical factor in preventing widespread wetland loss.

• US coastal wetlands face extreme variability in future outcomes by 2100: they could expand by 25% in an optimistic scenario with high vertical growth and low emissions, or decrease by 97% in a pessimistic scenario involving high emissions, ice sheet instability, and total urbanization of migration refuges.
• The conservation of undeveloped land for horizontal migration is a decisive factor for wetland survival. Under moderate growth and emission cuts, conserving all available land would limit wetland loss to 17%, compared to a 63% reduction if all such land is developed.
• Louisiana is the state at the highest risk of losing wetlands, as it contains one-third of the coastal wetlands in the contiguous US. North Carolina and Texas also face high risks, while California and Florida are constrained by a lack of undeveloped land for migration.
• Wetlands possess two primary resilience mechanisms: horizontal migration to 'refuges' (low-lying undeveloped dry lands) and vertical growth (accretion) through the accumulation of organic matter and sediment. Vertical growth rates in the US generally range between -2 and 8 millimeters per year.

APA

Climate Central (2022). Vulnerabilidad y resiliencia al aumento del nivel del mar de los humedales costeros de los Estados Unidos. https://assets.ctfassets.net/cxgxgstp8r5d/4zF1q2ZZJjE2bO0rrTzJMS/95760a1cc25cf67d4f1fc59ffcda2ac6/Climate_Central_Report_-_Vulnerability_and_Resilience_of_US_Coastal_Wetlands_ES.pdf

Chicago

Climate Central. Vulnerabilidad y resiliencia al aumento del nivel del mar de los humedales costeros de los Estados Unidos. 2022. https://assets.ctfassets.net/cxgxgstp8r5d/4zF1q2ZZJjE2bO0rrTzJMS/95760a1cc25cf67d4f1fc59ffcda2ac6/Climate_Central_Report_-_Vulnerability_and_Resilience_of_US_Coastal_Wetlands_ES.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Climate Central |title=Vulnerabilidad y resiliencia al aumento del nivel del mar de los humedales costeros de los Estados Unidos |date=June 2022 |url=https://assets.ctfassets.net/cxgxgstp8r5d/4zF1q2ZZJjE2bO0rrTzJMS/95760a1cc25cf67d4f1fc59ffcda2ac6/Climate_Central_Report_-_Vulnerability_and_Resilience_of_US_Coastal_Wetlands_ES.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{climatecentral2022vulnerabilidad, author = {{Climate Central}}, title = {{Vulnerabilidad y resiliencia al aumento del nivel del mar de los humedales costeros de los Estados Unidos}}, institution = {Climate Central}, year = {2022}, month = jun, url = {https://assets.ctfassets.net/cxgxgstp8r5d/4zF1q2ZZJjE2bO0rrTzJMS/95760a1cc25cf67d4f1fc59ffcda2ac6/Climate_Central_Report_-_Vulnerability_and_Resilience_of_US_Coastal_Wetlands_ES.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }