Search Climate Insights Directory

A fact sheet by Natural Justice detailing the proposed Maputo Floating Thermoelectric Power Plant Project in Mozambique, developed by Karpower and Electricidade de Moçambique (EDM). The project involves a natural gas-powered floating station and associated infrastructure, raising significant environmental, social, and economic concerns.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the political instability in Guinea-Bissau leading up to the March 2019 legislative elections. It argues that while elections are a step toward legitimacy, long-term stability requires deep institutional reforms to address the structural weaknesses and constitutional ambiguities that fueled the 2015 political crisis.

This policy brief by the Institute for Security Studies argues that Guinea-Bissau requires a new constitution to resolve chronic political instability and institutional deadlocks. It identifies critical ambiguities in the current semi-presidential regime—specifically regarding the powers of the President and Prime Minister—and proposes reforms based on models from Portugal and Cape Verde to strengthen the rule of law and democratic stability.

This policy brief by the Institute for Security Studies argues for a new Constitution in Guinea-Bissau to resolve chronic political instability and institutional blockages. It identifies critical ambiguities in the current semi-presidential system—specifically regarding the powers of the President and Prime Minister—and recommends structural reforms, including the creation of a Constitutional Court and the constitutionalization of the National Electoral Commission.

This policy brief by the Institute for Security Studies (ISS), developed for the United Nations Integrated Peacebuilding Office in Guinea-Bissau (UNIOGBIS), analyzes the electoral legal framework of Guinea-Bissau. It identifies deficiencies in the coordination between electoral bodies, the financial independence of the National Electoral Commission (NEC), and the lack of demographic updates in parliamentary seat allocation. The document recommends comprehensive reforms to the electoral laws and the Constitution to improve transparency, integrity, and the eventual implementation of local elections.

This policy brief analyzes the deficiencies in Guinea-Bissau's electoral framework and recommends reforms to improve the independence of the National Election Commission (CNE), ensure demographic fairness in parliamentary seat distribution, and establish a legal basis for national election observation. It also highlights the long-standing failure to implement municipal elections despite constitutional requirements.

This policy brief by the Institute for Security Studies examines the challenges facing the justice system in Guinea-Bissau, highlighting a history of impunity and the failure to implement key reforms due to political instability. It advocates for the relaunch of the 2015–2019 Justice Reform Programme and constitutional changes to ensure judicial independence and improve access to justice for the population.

This policy brief by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the challenges facing the justice system in Guinea-Bissau, highlighting a history of impunity and the failure to implement key reforms due to political instability. It advocates for the relaunch of the 2015-2019 Justice Reform Program and constitutional changes to ensure judicial independence and financial autonomy.

This research paper by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the political deadlock in Guinea-Bissau as of December 2017. It argues that holding legislative elections without first resolving the institutional crisis and implementing constitutional reforms is unlikely to provide a lasting solution and may instead exacerbate political polarization.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies examines community perceptions of organized crime and illicit trafficking in West Africa and the Sahel, specifically focusing on Guinea-Bissau, Mali, and Niger. It argues that in regions where the state is absent or corrupt, trafficking is often viewed not as a crime but as a necessary survival strategy and a sign of social success. The document details a 'vicious cycle' where poverty, crime, and state deprivation reinforce each other, leading to the erosion of traditional social norms and the infiltration of criminal networks into state institutions.

This research paper analyzes the diplomatic and strategic relationship between Senegal and Guinea-Bissau from 2000 to 2012, focusing on the foreign policy of President Abdoulaye Wade. It examines how Senegal utilized its economic power, diplomatic networks, and patronage to influence its neighbor, primarily to secure its southern border and combat the MFDC separatists in Casamance. The document details the shift from a period of Senegalese dominance to a more contested environment characterized by the rising influence of Angola.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the political and economic landscape of Guinea-Bissau leading up to the legislative elections on 28 March 2004. It details the country's history of instability, including the 1998-1999 civil war and the 2003 coup d'état that deposed President Kumba Ialá, while outlining the challenges of democratic consolidation, military restructuring, and extreme foreign aid dependence.

This report forecasts the development of Guinea-Bissau through 2043. While the 'Current Path' predicts economic growth and urbanization, it also projects persistent poverty. Various sectoral scenarios suggest that improvements in agriculture, trade, and stability could significantly boost GDP per capita and reduce extreme poverty, culminating in a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario where GDP reaches US$16.4 billion and poverty drops to 14.9%.

This briefing by the Institute for Security Studies examines the institutional fragility in Guinea-Bissau ahead of the legislative elections scheduled for 24 November. It argues that the lack of legitimacy in the National Elections Commission and the Supreme Court threatens the credibility of the electoral process and suggests that postponing elections and seeking a broad consensus may be necessary to ensure political stability.

This report by the Institute for Security Studies analyzes the risk of a military coup in Guinea-Bissau ahead of the April 13, 2014, general elections. It examines the causes of the April 12, 2012, coup and evaluates whether changes in the political landscape, security missions, and electoral reforms are sufficient to prevent a recurrence of instability.

This policy brief analyzes the impact of April 2013 US Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) indictments against high-ranking Guinea-Bissau officials, arguing that while the move challenges a long-standing culture of impunity, it risks triggering further instability if not accompanied by a comprehensive strategy to strengthen the national criminal justice system.