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This report provides a 'Current Path' development forecast for Equatorial Guinea extending to 2043, based on the International Futures (IFs) platform. It details the country's trajectory across demographics, economics, poverty, and energy, highlighting a significant misalignment between high GDP per capita driven by oil wealth and poor human development indicators.

This report provides a detailed development forecast for Equatorial Guinea up to 2043, utilizing the International Futures (IFs) forecasting platform. It contrasts a 'Current Path' scenario—based on existing policies and historical patterns—with various sectoral improvement scenarios and a 'Combined Agenda 2063' scenario. The analysis highlights a severe misalignment between the country's status as an upper middle-income nation, driven by oil wealth, and its poor development indicators, including pervasive extreme poverty and low life expectancy.

This statement by Tutu Alicante of EG Justice argues that the Obama administration should use the US-Africa Leaders Summit to pressure Equatorial Guinea for greater transparency, human rights, and judicial reform, highlighting the contrast between the country's oil wealth and the poverty of its citizens.