Search Climate Insights Directory

This report by Ember and Transforma analyses Colombia's declining domestic gas production and the resulting supply deficit projected to begin in 2030. It proposes a strategy to reduce gas dependency through energy efficiency in the industrial sector and the electrification of cooking and water heating in the residential sector, arguing that these measures can mitigate the projected deficit and avoid significant import costs.

Colombia faces a projected gas supply deficit starting in 2030, with a potential gap of 1.2 million GBtu by 2038. The report argues that this can be mitigated by reducing demand through a 14% increase in industrial energy efficiency and the electrification of residential cooking and water heating. Specifically, replacing 10% of gas stoves and 30% of water heaters could reduce 2030 demand by 21,545 GBtu, which is 1.5 times the projected deficit for that year. The authors recommend a planned exit from gas, including a national appliance replacement programme and the limitation of new fossil fuel infrastructure, to ensure energy security and a just transition.