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OVERSUPPLY GROWS IN THE WESTERN CLIMATE INITIATIVE CARBON MARKET
The report finds that the Western Climate Initiative (WCI) carbon market, comprising California, Quebec, and Ontario, is experiencing significant oversupply. This surplus, estimated at 270 million metric tons (MMT) through 2020, is driven by economic factors, renewable energy innovation, and the 2009 recession. Because allowances can be banked, this oversupply threatens to undermine the 2030 climate targets by effectively raising future emission caps. The author recommends that WCI jurisdictions adjust future caps downward by an amount equal to the privately held allowances banked by the end of 2020, citing the success of the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) in using a similar approach.
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Document type: Report