Methods, Jurisdictional Risk Assessment

The document details the technical process for calculating risk indicators for Indonesia's forests and peatlands. It focuses on four key areas: primary forests, peatlands, protected areas, and the forest estate. The methodology relies on intersecting datasets from Global Forest Watch, NASA, and the Indonesian government to measure forest cover loss, fire density, and the overlap of oil palm concessions with protected or primary forest areas. The analysis emphasizes the use of a 5-hectare minimum area threshold to reduce errors in small districts and provides specific formulas for calculating annual average rates of loss.

• The risk assessment for primary forests in Indonesia is based on three main factors: historical trends in forest cover loss, the density of fire occurrence, and the percentage of primary forests overlapped by oil palm concessions.
• To minimize bias and errors associated with small district sizes and data scale discrepancies, the analysis excludes districts where the primary forest or peat forest area at the start of the analysis period was less than 5 hectares.
• The methodology identifies the conversion of peatlands to plantations as a significant source of emissions, estimating that each hectare of tropical peat drained for such development emits an average of 55 metric tons of CO2.
• The assessment identifies a risk to protected areas and the forest estate through the overlap of oil palm concessions, noting that it is illegal in Indonesia to establish plantations in conservation areas, production forests, or limited production forests.
• Fire density indicators are derived from MODIS sensor data, which represents the centroid of 1 km2 pixels; consequently, the results represent fire occurrence within or in close proximity (less than 707 meters) to the target ecosystems.

APA

Forrest, J. L. (n.d.). Methods, Jurisdictional Risk Assessment. WWF International. https://www.worldwildlife.org/documents/343/674qh7h99r_JRA_Full_Methodology.pdf

Chicago

Forrest, Jessica L. Methods, Jurisdictional Risk Assessment. WWF International, n.d. https://www.worldwildlife.org/documents/343/674qh7h99r_JRA_Full_Methodology.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Forrest |first1=Jessica L. |title=Methods, Jurisdictional Risk Assessment |publisher=WWF International |url=https://www.worldwildlife.org/documents/343/674qh7h99r_JRA_Full_Methodology.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{forrestndmethods, author = {Forrest, Jessica L.}, title = {{Methods, Jurisdictional Risk Assessment}}, institution = {WWF International}, url = {https://www.worldwildlife.org/documents/343/674qh7h99r_JRA_Full_Methodology.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }