Looking Past the Horizon: the Case for Indonesia’s Long-Term Strategy for Climate Action

The document highlights the necessity for Indonesia to establish a long-term strategy (LTS) for climate action, as the country currently lacks a decarbonization plan beyond its 2030 commitments. It argues that an LTS would protect the economy from long-term costs, provide investment certainty, and optimize land-use and energy systems. The paper suggests that the Low-Carbon Development Initiative (LCDI) led by BAPPENAS could serve as a foundation for this strategy. Key priorities identified include avoiding stranded assets in the energy sector and enhancing the protection of pristine forests and peatlands to mitigate future economic losses from fires.

• Indonesia currently lacks a long-term decarbonization plan, which exposes its economic growth to risks that short-term planning cannot address, despite existing commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 29 to 41 percent against business-as-usual levels by 2030.
• Developing a long-term strategy (LTS) is economically beneficial as it can protect Indonesia from long-term costs, provide certainty for long-term investments, and allow for more efficient direction of energy and land-use systems.
• In the energy sector, long-term planning is necessary to align power plant expansion with global technology trends and avoid the creation of stranded assets or high-cost infrastructure. In land use, an LTS should prioritize the protection of peatlands and pristine forests to prevent economic losses from fires and provide low-cost mitigation.
• The low-carbon development initiative (LCDI) launched by the Ministry of National Development Planning (BAPPENAS), which includes modeling projections to 2045 and integration into national development planning (RPJMN), is identified as a potential basis for the LTS.
• Existing long-term modeling indicates that Indonesia's emissions will continue to rise, driven primarily by electricity in the energy system and by forest fires, peatland degradation, and deforestation in land use.

APA

World Resources Institute (n.d.). Looking Past the Horizon: the Case for Indonesia’s Long-Term Strategy for Climate Action. https://www.wri.org/research/looking-past-horizon-case-indonesias-long-term-strategy-climate-action

Chicago

World Resources Institute. Looking Past the Horizon: the Case for Indonesia’s Long-Term Strategy for Climate Action. n.d. https://www.wri.org/research/looking-past-horizon-case-indonesias-long-term-strategy-climate-action.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=World Resources Institute |title=Looking Past the Horizon: the Case for Indonesia’s Long-Term Strategy for Climate Action |url=https://www.wri.org/research/looking-past-horizon-case-indonesias-long-term-strategy-climate-action |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{worldresourcesinstitutendlooking, author = {{World Resources Institute}}, title = {{Looking Past the Horizon: the Case for Indonesia’s Long-Term Strategy for Climate Action}}, institution = {World Resources Institute}, url = {https://www.wri.org/research/looking-past-horizon-case-indonesias-long-term-strategy-climate-action}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }