Long-term Climate Compatible Growth for India: Modeling Low-carbon Pathways and Policies for India’s Power, Industry, and Transport Sectors

This research paper outlines a framework for India's low-carbon growth by calculating the country's fair share of the global carbon budget and modeling decadal milestones for the power, industry, and transport sectors through 2050.

• The study determines India's fair share of the global carbon budget using four specific allocation methods: Greenhouse Development Rights, Equal Cumulative Per Capita Emissions, the Fairness Index, and Per Capita Convergence.
• While India's power sector is currently decarbonizing and its 500 GW non-fossil fuel electricity capacity target is aligned with carbon budgets, the industry and transport sectors (specifically freight trucks) are projected to become the largest and fastest growing emission sources, respectively.
• To achieve 1.5°C scenarios, the models suggest implementing a carbon tax of INR 4,000–6,000 per tCO2e (based on 2018 prices) by 2050 to reduce emissions, replace fuel-based tax revenues, and fund clean industry jobs.
• The research indicates that India will underconsume its equity-based share of the global carbon budget across all low carbon scenarios, necessitating international technology and financial support for a resilient transition.

APA

World Resources Institute (n.d.). Long-term Climate Compatible Growth for India: Modeling Low-carbon Pathways and Policies for India’s Power, Industry, and Transport Sectors. https://www.wri.org/research/long-term-climate-compatible-growth-india-low-carbon-pathways

Chicago

World Resources Institute. Long-term Climate Compatible Growth for India: Modeling Low-carbon Pathways and Policies for India’s Power, Industry, and Transport Sectors. n.d. https://www.wri.org/research/long-term-climate-compatible-growth-india-low-carbon-pathways.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=World Resources Institute |title=Long-term Climate Compatible Growth for India: Modeling Low-carbon Pathways and Policies for India’s Power, Industry, and Transport Sectors |url=https://www.wri.org/research/long-term-climate-compatible-growth-india-low-carbon-pathways |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{worldresourcesinstitutendlongterm, author = {{World Resources Institute}}, title = {{Long-term Climate Compatible Growth for India: Modeling Low-carbon Pathways and Policies for India’s Power, Industry, and Transport Sectors}}, institution = {World Resources Institute}, url = {https://www.wri.org/research/long-term-climate-compatible-growth-india-low-carbon-pathways}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }