Human Capital Outlook
Summary
The document evaluates ASEAN's human capital performance using the 2015 Human Capital Index, highlighting a wide performance gap between countries like Singapore and Myanmar. It argues that the Fourth Industrial Revolution will necessitate a shift from competing on low-cost labour to competing through skilled talent, requiring urgent reforms in education, increased female labour force participation, and enhanced regional labour mobility.
Key insights
- The 2015 Human Capital Index reveals a significant disparity in human capital development across ASEAN, with Singapore ranking as a "global success story" at 78% of the ideal benchmark, while Myanmar, Lao PDR, and Cambodia are identified as "significantly underperforming their potential," with Myanmar scoring 53%.
- ASEAN is facing a major demographic shift, with its population expected to reach 694 million by 2025 and the labour force projected to add 68.2 million new entrants by that time. A potential "demographic dividend" exists because high-skilled workers (those with degrees) have a median age in the mid-20s, which is younger than the general workforce.
- Technological disruptions from the Fourth Industrial Revolution, including robotics and machine learning, are expected to substitute specific tasks rather than entire occupations. Consequently, by 2020, more than one-third of the core skill sets for most jobs will consist of skills not currently considered crucial.
- There is a mismatch between tertiary education enrolment and the needs of the evolving economy; many students focus on Social Sciences, Business, and Law, while enrolment in Engineering, Health, and Natural Sciences lags behind despite these fields being critical to technological trends.
- Female talent remains an underutilised resource in ASEAN. While young women's educational attainment now equals or exceeds that of men, a significant gender gap persists in labour force participation—most notably in Malaysia (41%), Indonesia (38%), and the Philippines (35%)—as well as in progression to senior leadership roles.
- Regional labour migration is currently concentrated in specific one-way corridors: 55% of intra-ASEAN migration flows from Cambodia, Lao PDR, and Myanmar into Thailand; 16% from Indonesia into Malaysia; and 16% from Malaysia into Singapore.
- ASEAN employers identify several barriers to workforce transformation, with the most significant being a lack of priority from top management (40%) and an insufficient understanding of disruptive changes (40%).
Cite the original document
- APA
- World Economic Forum (2016). Human Capital Outlook. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_ASEAN_HumanCapitalOutlook.pdf
- Chicago
- World Economic Forum. Human Capital Outlook. 2016. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_ASEAN_HumanCapitalOutlook.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=World Economic Forum |title=Human Capital Outlook |date=2016 |url=http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_ASEAN_HumanCapitalOutlook.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{worldeconomicforum2016human, author = {{World Economic Forum}}, title = {{Human Capital Outlook}}, institution = {World Economic Forum}, year = {2016}, url = {http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_ASEAN_HumanCapitalOutlook.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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