How Cost-Effective Technology Can Increase Vehicle Fuel Economy

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The Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) analyzes various technology studies to demonstrate that U.S. passenger vehicles can cost-effectively reach a fleet average of approximately 40 mpg by 2020 using conventional technology and over 50 mpg by 2030 with hybrid-electric technology. The report criticizes the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration's (NHTSA) historical use of marginal cost-marginal benefit (MCMB) analysis, which often undervalues environmental and security benefits, and recommends a total cost-total benefit (TCTB) approach to set more aggressive standards.

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  • U.S. passenger vehicles could cost-effectively achieve a fleet average fuel economy of approximately 40 mpg by 2020 using conventional technology alone, and more than 50 mpg by 2030 when hybrid-electric technology is fully deployed.
  • The Union of Concerned Scientists' total cost-total benefit (TCTB) analysis indicates that a fleet average fuel economy between 39 and 55 mpg is both achievable and cost-effective.
  • The report argues that the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) has used a flawed marginal cost-marginal benefit (MCMB) analysis that produces conservative results and has previously valued reduced heat-trapping emissions at zero dollars.
  • Implementing more aggressive fuel economy standards beyond the 35 mpg minimum could significantly increase oil savings and emissions reductions; for example, a 47 mpg standard by 2030 could save 445 billion gallons of fuel through 2030.
  • The automotive industry has historically increased vehicle weight and horsepower rather than using engineering improvements to increase fuel economy; today's average vehicle is over 900 pounds heavier than it was 20 years ago.
  • The report recommends that NHTSA treat the 35 mpg fleet average as a minimum for 2020 and target at least 50 mpg by 2030.
  • U.S. passenger vehicles are a major source of global warming pollution, emitting more CO2 than the entire economies of all but two other countries as of 2004.
  • The report identifies several cost-effective technology categories for improving fuel economy, including engine and drivetrain efficiency, reducing auxiliary loads, and reducing aerodynamic drag or rolling resistance.

Cite the original document

APA
Kliesch, J. (2008). How Cost-Effective Technology Can Increase Vehicle Fuel Economy. Union of Concerned Scientists. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2019-09/ucs-setting-the-standard.pdf
Chicago
Kliesch, Jim. How Cost-Effective Technology Can Increase Vehicle Fuel Economy. Union of Concerned Scientists, 2008. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2019-09/ucs-setting-the-standard.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Kliesch |first1=Jim |title=How Cost-Effective Technology Can Increase Vehicle Fuel Economy |publisher=Union of Concerned Scientists |date=September 2008 |url=https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2019-09/ucs-setting-the-standard.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{kliesch2008how, author = {Kliesch, Jim}, title = {{How Cost-Effective Technology Can Increase Vehicle Fuel Economy}}, institution = {Union of Concerned Scientists}, year = {2008}, month = sep, url = {https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2019-09/ucs-setting-the-standard.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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