New York Clean Trucks Program

The report analyzes the transition of New York's medium- and heavy-duty (M/HD) vehicle fleet to zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) under three scenarios: the Advanced Clean Trucks (ACT) Rule, the ACT Rule plus the NOx Omnibus Rule, and a highly ambitious '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario. The findings indicate that while ZEVs have higher initial purchase costs, they achieve lifetime cost parity with combustion vehicles by 2030. The most aggressive scenario is projected to generate over $36 billion in cumulative net societal benefits by 2050, including significant reductions in premature deaths and greenhouse gas emissions. The transition is expected to have positive macroeconomic effects on the U.S., including net job gains and GDP growth, while potentially lowering electricity rates for New York residents and businesses due to increased utility net revenue.

• The '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario, which aims for virtually all new trucks to be ZEVs by 2040 and a nearly carbon-free grid by 2050, results in the highest cumulative net societal benefits, exceeding $36 billion through 2050.
• Adopting the ACT Rule alone is projected to provide cumulative net societal benefits of over $19 billion by 2050, including the avoidance of 237 premature deaths and 231 hospital visits.
• Zero-emission medium- and heavy-duty vehicles are projected to reach lifetime cost parity with combustion vehicles by 2030, as falling purchase costs are offset by fuel and maintenance savings.
• The transition to ZEVs is expected to produce positive national macroeconomic effects; under the most aggressive scenario, net national job gains are projected at 2,940 in 2035 and 1,051 in 2040, with new jobs paying more than twice the average wage of replaced jobs.
• Increased electricity sales for M/HD EV charging could lower distribution rates for New York customers; under the 100 x 40 ZEV scenario, this could reduce average residential and commercial rates by up to 2.5% by 2050.
• The '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario is projected to reduce annual fleet NOx and PM emissions by 96% and 84% respectively compared to the baseline by 2050.
• Significant infrastructure investment is required to support the transition; under the 100 x 40 ZEV scenario, annual fleet investments in depot charging would average $133 million and public charging investments would average $102 million between 2025 and 2050.

APA

Lowell, D., Saha, A., Freeman, M., MacNair, D., Seamonds, D., & Langlois, T. (2021). New York Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2021-12/ny-clean-trucks-report.pdf

Chicago

Lowell, Dana, Amlan Saha, Miranda Freeman, Doug MacNair, David Seamonds, and Ted Langlois. New York Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists, 2021. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2021-12/ny-clean-trucks-report.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Lowell |first1=Dana |last2=Saha |first2=Amlan |last3=Freeman |first3=Miranda |last4=MacNair |first4=Doug |last5=Seamonds |first5=David |last6=Langlois |first6=Ted |title=New York Clean Trucks Program |publisher=Union of Concerned Scientists |date=2021 |url=https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2021-12/ny-clean-trucks-report.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{lowell2021new, author = {Lowell, Dana and Saha, Amlan and Freeman, Miranda and MacNair, Doug and Seamonds, David and Langlois, Ted}, title = {{New York Clean Trucks Program}}, institution = {Union of Concerned Scientists}, year = {2021}, url = {https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2021-12/ny-clean-trucks-report.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }