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The analysis examines the transition of Nevada's medium- and heavy-duty (M/HD) vehicle fleet to zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs) under three scenarios: the California Advanced Clean Trucks (ACT) Rule, the ACT Rule plus the NOx Omnibus Rule, and a highly ambitious '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario. The most aggressive scenario projects cumulative net societal benefits of over $9.6 billion by 2050, including 98 avoided premature deaths and 71 fewer hospital visits. While ZEVs currently have higher purchase costs, the report finds that average ZEVs in Nevada are projected to reach lifetime cost parity with combustion vehicles by 2030, eventually providing significant fuel and maintenance savings. The transition would reduce petroleum dependence, increase electricity demand, and potentially lower residential and commercial electricity rates due to increased utility net revenue. Macroeconomic modeling suggests national net job gains through 2035, with new jobs in electrical component manufacturing and infrastructure construction offering wages nearly twice as high as the jobs they replace.

Key insights

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  • Nevada's M/HD vehicle fleet, comprising 161,200 vehicles, is responsible for a disproportionate share of on-road pollution, emitting 4.1 million metric tons of greenhouse gases annually—about 27 percent of all on-road GHGs—and 57 percent of nitrogen oxide (NOx) and 50 percent of fine particulates (PM).
  • The '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario, which aims for virtually all new trucks to be ZEV by 2040 and a carbon-free grid by 2050, results in the highest cumulative net societal benefits of more than $9.6 billion through 2050, with 98 fewer premature deaths and 71 fewer hospital visits.
  • Under the least aggressive scenario (ACT Rule), cumulative net societal benefits are estimated at almost $4.4 billion through 2050, including up to 32 fewer premature deaths and 25 fewer hospital visits.
  • The transition to ZEVs is projected to significantly reduce petroleum fuel use; under the 100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid scenario, petroleum fuel use by the M/HD fleet in 2050 is estimated to drop by 94 percent to 21 million gallons.
  • Average M/HD ZEVs in Nevada are expected to reach lifetime cost parity with combustion vehicles by 2030, with those purchased in 2040 projected to produce nearly $40,000 in discounted lifetime net savings.
  • Increased electricity sales from M/HD EV charging could lower distribution rates for all customers; under the 100 x 40 ZEV scenario, this could reduce average residential and commercial electricity rates by up to 0.35 percent by 2050.
  • National macroeconomic impacts include net job gains through 2035, with average wages for new jobs in electrical component manufacturing and infrastructure construction expected to be almost twice as high as those for replaced jobs.
  • The 100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid scenario is projected to reduce annual fleet GHG emissions by 84 percent compared to the baseline by 2050, with cumulative reductions totaling 35.8 million metric tons.

Cite the original document

APA
Seamonds, D., Robo, E., Tolomiczenko, S., & Freeman, M. (2022). Nevada Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2022-10/nv-clean-trucks-report.pdf
Chicago
Seamonds, David, Ellen Robo, Sophie Tolomiczenko, and Miranda Freeman. Nevada Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists, 2022. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2022-10/nv-clean-trucks-report.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |last1=Seamonds |first1=David |last2=Robo |first2=Ellen |last3=Tolomiczenko |first3=Sophie |last4=Freeman |first4=Miranda |title=Nevada Clean Trucks Program |publisher=Union of Concerned Scientists |date=2022 |url=https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2022-10/nv-clean-trucks-report.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{seamonds2022nevada, author = {Seamonds, David and Robo, Ellen and Tolomiczenko, Sophie and Freeman, Miranda}, title = {{Nevada Clean Trucks Program}}, institution = {Union of Concerned Scientists}, year = {2022}, url = {https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2022-10/nv-clean-trucks-report.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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