New Jersey Clean Trucks Program

The report evaluates three policy scenarios for transitioning New Jersey's medium- and heavy-duty (M/HD) vehicle fleet to zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs). The most ambitious scenario, '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid', projects cumulative net societal benefits of over $21 billion by 2050, including 303 avoided premature deaths and 325 fewer hospital visits. While ZEVs currently have higher purchase costs, the analysis predicts lifetime cost parity with combustion vehicles by 2030. The transition is expected to generate national macroeconomic gains in GDP and higher-paying jobs in electrical manufacturing and infrastructure, although net job gains may reverse by 2045 due to reduced fuel and maintenance spending. Implementation would require significant investment in depot and public charging infrastructure, with the 100 x 40 ZEV scenario requiring an average of $73 million annually for depot charging and $46 million for public networks.

• The report models three policy scenarios with increasing ambition: the adoption of California's Advanced Clean Truck (ACT) rule, the ACT rule combined with the NOx Omnibus Rule, and a '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario where virtually all new trucks are ZEVs by 2040 and the grid is decarbonized.
• The '100 x 40 ZEV + Clean Grid' scenario provides the highest benefits, with cumulative net societal benefits exceeding $21 billion through 2050, 303 avoided premature deaths, and 325 avoided hospital visits.
• Under the ACT Rule scenario, cumulative net societal benefits are estimated at almost $11 billion through 2050, including up to 85 fewer premature deaths and 91 fewer hospital visits.
• Average lifetime cost parity between ZEVs and combustion vehicles is projected to be reached by 2030, with ZEVs purchased in 2040 expected to produce over $25,000 in discounted lifetime net savings.
• The transition to ZEVs is projected to have positive national macroeconomic effects, including increased GDP and the creation of new jobs with average wages nearly twice as high as the jobs they replace, although net job gains may turn into losses by 2045 due to reduced spending on fuel and maintenance.
• The 100 x 40 ZEV scenario would require substantial charging infrastructure investment, averaging $73 million per year for depot-based charging and $46 million per year for public charging networks between 2025 and 2050.
• Increased electricity sales from M/HD EV charging could lower electricity rates for New Jersey residential and commercial customers; under the 100 x 40 ZEV scenario, this could reduce average rates by up to 0.8% by 2050.
• The New Jersey M/HD fleet currently consists of approximately 423,000 vehicles, which are responsible for 7.6 million metric tons of annual greenhouse gas emissions, 44% of on-road nitrogen oxide (NOx), and 39% of on-road particulate matter (PM).

APA

Lowell, D., Saha, A., Freeman, M., MacNair, D., Seamonds, D., & Langlois, T. (2021). New Jersey Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2021-10/nj-clean-trucks-report.pdf

Chicago

Lowell, Dana, Amlan Saha, Miranda Freeman, Doug MacNair, David Seamonds, and Ted Langlois. New Jersey Clean Trucks Program. Union of Concerned Scientists, 2021. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2021-10/nj-clean-trucks-report.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Lowell |first1=Dana |last2=Saha |first2=Amlan |last3=Freeman |first3=Miranda |last4=MacNair |first4=Doug |last5=Seamonds |first5=David |last6=Langlois |first6=Ted |title=New Jersey Clean Trucks Program |publisher=Union of Concerned Scientists |date=2021 |url=https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2021-10/nj-clean-trucks-report.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{lowell2021new, author = {Lowell, Dana and Saha, Amlan and Freeman, Miranda and MacNair, Doug and Seamonds, David and Langlois, Ted}, title = {{New Jersey Clean Trucks Program}}, institution = {Union of Concerned Scientists}, year = {2021}, url = {https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2021-10/nj-clean-trucks-report.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }