Baru Setahun Sudah Represif-Otoriter?

The document analyzes the first year of the Prabowo-Gibran administration, claiming a return to 'New Order' style governance. It highlights the centralization of economic power through the Danantara sovereign wealth fund, the expansion of the military's role in civilian bureaucracy and national development projects, and a surge in the criminalization of activists and protesters. The report argues that the administration prioritizes extractive industries and the interests of political loyalists and oligarchs over public welfare and democratic principles.

• The administration is described as establishing a 'new New Order' based on a triad of power consisting of the military (TNI), the National Nutrition Agency (BGN), and the Gerindra Party, mirroring the ABG (ABRI, Bureaucracy, Golkar) structure of the Soeharto era.
• The government has significantly expanded the military's role in civilian governance, including the appointment of 4,472 active TNI personnel to civilian positions in ministries and agencies, and the creation of 'Territorial Development Battalions' to execute national programs like food security.
• The Danantara sovereign wealth fund is characterized as a political-economic instrument for the regime, managing assets of approximately Rp14,000 trillion with a leadership structure dominated by political loyalists and 'Politically Exposed Persons' (PEPs).
• The 'Patriot Bonds' issued by Danantara, totaling over Rp50 trillion, are analyzed as a mechanism for 'political insurance' or 'protection money' used by conglomerates to secure business permits or legal safety rather than a purely financial investment.
• There has been a marked increase in the criminalization of citizens, with over 1,000 people targeted in one year, including 80 individuals opposing the mining industry and thousands arrested during the August 2025 protests.
• The administration's economic strategy is criticized for its heavy reliance on extractive industries (nickel, coal, palm oil) and 'command economy' tactics, which the report claims leads to fiscal fragility, increased debt (Rp458 trillion added between January-September 2025), and the marginalization of the middle class.
• The 'Free Nutritious Meal' (MBG) program is highlighted as a source of patronage, with several foundations affiliated with President Prabowo and his family managing the program's kitchens.
• Legislative processes for key laws, such as the 2025 revisions to the TNI Law and the BUMN Law, are described as non-transparent and lacking meaningful public participation, with 14 formal challenges to these laws being rejected by the Constitutional Court.

APA

Setiawan, A. A., NK, A., Widayati, A., Yudhistira, B., Pramita, D., Atikah, G. A., Habiburrachman, Wicaksono, R. A., Jaelani, R., Arthiando, V., Aulia, Y., & Amali, Z. (2025). Baru Setahun Sudah Represif-Otoriter? Trend Asia. https://trendasia.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Bersihkan-Indonesia-Baru-Setahun-Sudah-Fasis-Otoriter.pdf

Chicago

Setiawan, Alfa Arifia, Ariyansah NK, Asri Widayati, Bhima Yudhistira, Dini Pramita, Gita Ayu Atikah, Habiburrachman, et al. Baru Setahun Sudah Represif-Otoriter? Trend Asia, 2025. https://trendasia.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Bersihkan-Indonesia-Baru-Setahun-Sudah-Fasis-Otoriter.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Setiawan |first1=Alfa Arifia |last2=NK |first2=Ariyansah |last3=Widayati |first3=Asri |last4=Yudhistira |first4=Bhima |last5=Pramita |first5=Dini |last6=Atikah |first6=Gita Ayu |last7=Habiburrachman |last8=Wicaksono |first8=Rizaldi Ageng |last9=Jaelani |first9=Rofi |display-authors=etal |title=Baru Setahun Sudah Represif-Otoriter? |publisher=Trend Asia |date=October 2025 |url=https://trendasia.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Bersihkan-Indonesia-Baru-Setahun-Sudah-Fasis-Otoriter.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{setiawan2025baru, author = {Setiawan, Alfa Arifia and NK, Ariyansah and Widayati, Asri and Yudhistira, Bhima and Pramita, Dini and Atikah, Gita Ayu and Habiburrachman and Wicaksono, Rizaldi Ageng and Jaelani, Rofi and Arthiando, Viky and Aulia, Yassar and Amali, Zakki}, title = {{Baru Setahun Sudah Represif-Otoriter?}}, institution = {Trend Asia}, year = {2025}, month = oct, url = {https://trendasia.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/03/Bersihkan-Indonesia-Baru-Setahun-Sudah-Fasis-Otoriter.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }