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The report analyzes four Latin American countries, finding that while a literal tripling of renewable capacity is unfeasible or unnecessary for Brazil, Chile, and Colombia due to their existing high renewable shares, it could meet Argentina's demand but remains practically unattainable. It proposes 'sustainable progression' scenarios that balance demand with renewable growth and energy efficiency, highlighting the roles of solar, wind, and bioenergy in reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 2030.

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  • For Brazil, Chile, and Colombia, literally tripling the 2022 installed renewable capacity by 2030 is unnecessary as it would far exceed their projected electricity demand.
  • In Argentina, tripling renewable capacity could meet 2030 electricity demand, but it is considered unfeasible because it would require increasing the renewable share from 37% to nearly 90% within six years.
  • Under the 'sustainable progression' scenario, Colombia could reach an 80% renewable energy installed capacity share by 2030, displacing 14% of its fossil fuel consumption for electricity generation.
  • Brazil's 'sustainable progression' scenario projects a 2030 energy mix led by solar power at 40.3%, followed by hydropower at 38.9%, wind at 14.2%, and bioenergy at 6.6%, with an estimated 6.8% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions.
  • Chile could achieve a 96% renewable energy installed capacity share by 2030 under the sustainable progression scenario, primarily driven by large-scale solar (48.7%) and onshore wind (30.4%), resulting in a 40.9% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions.
  • Argentina's 'sustainable progression' scenario projects that hydroelectricity will remain the primary source at 57.1% of the mix by 2030, with solar reaching 18.3% and wind 20.4%, leading to a 7.9% reduction in emissions.
  • Doubling the rate of energy efficiency improvements across the four countries would result in significant savings in required installed electricity generation capacity, totaling 16.81 GW.

Cite the original document

APA
Transforma (2024). CAS TUDI ARGENTINA, BRASIL, COLOMBIA CHILE. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/241127-Executive-summary-What-do-triple-renewables-and-double-energy-efficiency-mean1.pdf
Chicago
Transforma. CAS TUDI ARGENTINA, BRASIL, COLOMBIA CHILE. 2024. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/241127-Executive-summary-What-do-triple-renewables-and-double-energy-efficiency-mean1.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=Transforma |title=CAS TUDI ARGENTINA, BRASIL, COLOMBIA CHILE |date=September 2024 |url=https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/241127-Executive-summary-What-do-triple-renewables-and-double-energy-efficiency-mean1.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{transforma2024cas, author = {{Transforma}}, title = {{CAS TUDI ARGENTINA, BRASIL, COLOMBIA CHILE}}, institution = {Transforma}, year = {2024}, month = sep, url = {https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/241127-Executive-summary-What-do-triple-renewables-and-double-energy-efficiency-mean1.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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