CAS TUDI ARGENTINA, BRASIL, COLOMBIA CHILE

This executive summary by Transforma analyzes the feasibility of meeting global targets to triple renewable energy capacity and double energy efficiency by 2030 in Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, and Chile. The study finds that for Brazil, Colombia, and Chile, a literal tripling of 2022 capacity would exceed projected energy demand, whereas for Argentina, it could meet demand but is deemed unfeasible due to the extreme infrastructure and market shifts required to move from a 37.4% to a 90% renewable share in six years.

• For Colombia, Brazil, and Chile, literally tripling the 2022 installed renewable capacity by 2030 is unnecessary as it would "far surpass the countries' demand projections."
• In Argentina, tripling installed capacity could meet 2030 electricity demand, but is considered "unfeasible" because it would require increasing the renewable share from 37.4% to nearly 90% within six years, which is "unattainable given current infrastructure and market constraints."
• Under a 'sustainable progression' scenario, Colombia could reach an 80% renewable energy installed capacity share by 2030 by expanding capacity at a steady annual rate of 5.6%, which would displace 14% of its fossil fuel consumption for electricity generation.
• Brazil's 'sustainable progression' scenario projects a 2030 energy mix led by solar power (40.3%), followed by hydropower (38.9%), wind (14.2%), and bioenergy (6.6%), resulting in an estimated 6.8% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030.
• Chile's 'sustainable progression' scenario suggests renewables could comprise 96% of the electricity mix by 2030, primarily driven by large-scale solar (48.7%) and onshore wind (30.4%), leading to a projected 40.9% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions.
• Argentina's 'sustainable progression' scenario projects that by 2030, hydroelectricity will remain the primary source (57.1% share, 13.46 GW), with solar reaching 18.3% and wind 20.4% of the mix, potentially reducing emissions by 7.9%.
• The study identifies that doubling energy efficiency across the assessed countries would result in total savings of 16.81 GW in required installed electricity generation capacity.

APA

Transforma (2024). CAS TUDI ARGENTINA, BRASIL, COLOMBIA CHILE. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/241127-Executive-summary-What-do-triple-renewables-and-double-energy-efficiency-mean1.pdf

Chicago

Transforma. CAS TUDI ARGENTINA, BRASIL, COLOMBIA CHILE. 2024. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/241127-Executive-summary-What-do-triple-renewables-and-double-energy-efficiency-mean1.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Transforma |title=CAS TUDI ARGENTINA, BRASIL, COLOMBIA CHILE |date=September 2024 |url=https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/241127-Executive-summary-What-do-triple-renewables-and-double-energy-efficiency-mean1.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{transforma2024cas, author = {{Transforma}}, title = {{CAS TUDI ARGENTINA, BRASIL, COLOMBIA CHILE}}, institution = {Transforma}, year = {2024}, month = sep, url = {https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/241127-Executive-summary-What-do-triple-renewables-and-double-energy-efficiency-mean1.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }