¿Qué significa cumplir con las metas globales de triplicar renovables y duplicar eficiencia energética en América Latina?

This policy brief by Transforma analyzes the feasibility and requirements for Colombia, Argentina, Brazil, and Chile to contribute to the global goals of tripling renewable energy capacity and doubling energy efficiency rates by 2030, as established during COP 28. Using the EnergyScope modeling tool, the document evaluates various scenarios to determine the most cost-effective paths for each country to transition their electrical matrices while reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

• The study concludes that it is not necessary for each individual country to literally triple its installed renewable capacity to contribute to the global goal of the first Global Stocktake of the Paris Agreement.
• In Colombia, a 'sustainable progression' scenario could increase the share of renewables to 80% by 2030, with installed capacity increasing 1.64 times compared to 2022 levels, or 12.35 times if hydroelectric power is excluded.
• Argentina could reach a renewable participation of approximately 51% in its electrical matrix by leveraging onshore wind and large-scale solar energy to displace fossil fuels.
• Brazil could increase its installed renewable capacity from 85.8% to 96% by 2030, utilizing large-scale solar, distributed solar, and wind energy.
• Chile is projected to reach 96% renewable generation in its electrical matrix by 2030, representing an increase of 27.2 GW in installed capacity through solar, wind, thermal, and geothermal sources.
• Doubling the annual rate of energy efficiency improvement can lead to significant savings in required installed generation capacity across the studied countries: 0.87 GW in Colombia, 0.94 GW in Argentina, 11.08 GW in Brazil, and 3.92 GW in Chile by 2030.
• The document identifies a regional trend where hydroelectricity, while remaining relevant, will lose relative share to more economical renewables like solar and wind, potentially allowing the four countries to average 75% renewable electricity generation.
• The report highlights a gap in energy efficiency policies in the region, noting a lack of specific goals, solid regulatory frameworks, and dedicated agencies to implement these policies, with Chile being the only one with explicit intensity reduction goals of 10% by 2030.

APA

Betancourth, D. D., Naranjo, S. B., Patiño, D. C. B., Mogollón, A. M., Figueredo, P. O., Busconi, A., & Camelo, J. B. (2024). ¿Qué significa cumplir con las metas globales de triplicar renovables y duplicar eficiencia energética en América Latina? Transforma. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/20240919-VIS-Transforma-PB-diplomacia-energetica.pdf

Chicago

Betancourth, Diana Diaz, Santiago Barbosa Naranjo, Diana Carolina Barba Patiño, Ana María Mogollón, Paula Osorio Figueredo, Antonela Busconi, and Juliette Bermúdez Camelo. ¿Qué significa cumplir con las metas globales de triplicar renovables y duplicar eficiencia energética en América Latina? Transforma, 2024. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/20240919-VIS-Transforma-PB-diplomacia-energetica.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Betancourth |first1=Diana Diaz |last2=Naranjo |first2=Santiago Barbosa |last3=Patiño |first3=Diana Carolina Barba |last4=Mogollón |first4=Ana María |last5=Figueredo |first5=Paula Osorio |last6=Busconi |first6=Antonela |last7=Camelo |first7=Juliette Bermúdez |title=¿Qué significa cumplir con las metas globales de triplicar renovables y duplicar eficiencia energética en América Latina? |publisher=Transforma |date=September 2024 |url=https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/20240919-VIS-Transforma-PB-diplomacia-energetica.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{betancourth2024significa, author = {Betancourth, Diana Diaz and Naranjo, Santiago Barbosa and Patiño, Diana Carolina Barba and Mogollón, Ana María and Figueredo, Paula Osorio and Busconi, Antonela and Camelo, Juliette Bermúdez}, title = {{¿Qué significa cumplir con las metas globales de triplicar renovables y duplicar eficiencia energética en América Latina?}}, institution = {Transforma}, year = {2024}, month = sep, url = {https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/20240919-VIS-Transforma-PB-diplomacia-energetica.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }