¿Qué significa cumplir con las metas globales de triplicar renovables y duplicar eficiencia energética en América Latina?
Summary
The document uses EnergyScope modeling to evaluate how four Latin American countries can align with COP 28 global energy targets. It concludes that a literal tripling of capacity is not necessary for all countries to meet projected demand and that combining renewable expansion with doubled energy efficiency can reduce the required installed capacity.
Key insights
- A literal tripling of renewable energy capacity is not necessary for every country to contribute to the global goal, as it would in some cases exceed projected electricity demand by 2030.
- In Colombia, a 'sustainable progression' scenario could increase the share of renewables to 80% by 2030, with installed capacity increasing 1.64 times compared to 2022, or 12.35 times if hydroelectric power is excluded.
- Argentina could reach a renewable share of approximately 51% in its electricity matrix by leveraging onshore wind and large-scale solar power to displace fossil fuels.
- Brazil could increase its renewable installed capacity from 85.8% to 96% by 2030, utilizing large-scale and distributed solar as well as wind energy.
- Chile is projected to reach 96% renewable generation in its electricity matrix by 2030, requiring an increase of 27.2 GW in installed capacity through solar, wind, thermal, and geothermal sources.
- Doubling the annual rate of energy efficiency improvements (from 2% to 4% in most cases) results in measurable savings in required installed generation capacity across all four countries by 2030: 0.87 GW in Colombia, 0.94 GW in Argentina, 11.08 GW in Brazil, and 3.92 GW in Chile.
- The study identifies a regional lag in energy efficiency progress compared to renewable energy development, noting a lack of specific goals, solid regulatory frameworks, and dedicated implementation agencies.
- The transition to renewables in the region could increase energy sector employment by 15% by 2030, potentially reaching 4 million jobs in the renewable sector.
Cite the original document
- APA
- Betancourth, D. D., Naranjo, S. B., Patiño, D. C. B., Mogollón, A. M., Figueredo, P. O., Busconi, A., & Camelo, J. B. (2024). ¿Qué significa cumplir con las metas globales de triplicar renovables y duplicar eficiencia energética en América Latina? Transforma. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/20240919-VIS-Transforma-PB-diplomacia-energetica.pdf
- Chicago
- Betancourth, Diana Diaz, Santiago Barbosa Naranjo, Diana Carolina Barba Patiño, Ana María Mogollón, Paula Osorio Figueredo, Antonela Busconi, and Juliette Bermúdez Camelo. ¿Qué significa cumplir con las metas globales de triplicar renovables y duplicar eficiencia energética en América Latina? Transforma, 2024. https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/20240919-VIS-Transforma-PB-diplomacia-energetica.pdf.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |last1=Betancourth |first1=Diana Diaz |last2=Naranjo |first2=Santiago Barbosa |last3=Patiño |first3=Diana Carolina Barba |last4=Mogollón |first4=Ana María |last5=Figueredo |first5=Paula Osorio |last6=Busconi |first6=Antonela |last7=Camelo |first7=Juliette Bermúdez |title=¿Qué significa cumplir con las metas globales de triplicar renovables y duplicar eficiencia energética en América Latina? |publisher=Transforma |date=September 2024 |url=https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/20240919-VIS-Transforma-PB-diplomacia-energetica.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{betancourth2024significa, author = {Betancourth, Diana Diaz and Naranjo, Santiago Barbosa and Patiño, Diana Carolina Barba and Mogollón, Ana María and Figueredo, Paula Osorio and Busconi, Antonela and Camelo, Juliette Bermúdez}, title = {{¿Qué significa cumplir con las metas globales de triplicar renovables y duplicar eficiencia energética en América Latina?}}, institution = {Transforma}, year = {2024}, month = sep, url = {https://transforma.global/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/20240919-VIS-Transforma-PB-diplomacia-energetica.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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