México: Estudio sobre la disminución de emisiones de carbono

The report provides a comprehensive cost-benefit analysis of 40 low-carbon interventions in Mexico, focusing on electricity, oil and gas, end-use energy, transport, and agriculture and forestry. It argues that Mexico can stabilize its greenhouse gas emissions at 2008 levels by 2030 while maintaining economic growth, provided it overcomes institutional and regulatory barriers. The study highlights 'win-win' interventions with positive economic returns and significant co-benefits for public health and energy security.

• Implementing 40 identified low-carbon interventions could reduce Mexico's greenhouse gas emissions by approximately 477 MtCO2e by 2030 compared to the baseline scenario, effectively stabilizing emissions at 2008 levels.
• The agricultural and forestry sector offers the highest potential for emission reductions, accounting for 32% of the total reductions in the MEDEC scenario, primarily through REDD strategies, reforestation, and plantations.
• The transport sector is the largest and fastest-growing source of emissions; the study identifies high-impact interventions such as urban densification, Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) systems, and improved vehicle efficiency standards.
• In the electricity sector, the baseline scenario predicts a 230% increase in emissions between 2008 and 2030, largely due to a projected increase in coal-fired generation.
• The MEDEC scenario for electricity replaces fossil fuel capacity with renewables, reducing coal's share of generation from 31% to 6% and increasing wind, geothermal, and biomass contributions.
• Significant 'win-win' opportunities exist in the oil and gas sector, particularly through cogeneration at Pemex facilities, which could provide over 6% of Mexico's total installed electrical capacity.
• The total new investment required to achieve the MEDEC scenario between 2009 and 2030 is approximately $64.5 billion, representing about 0.4% of Mexico's 2008 GDP.
• A computable general equilibrium (CGE) model suggests that implementing these interventions would increase Mexico's overall GDP by 5.58% by 2030, with the most significant gains in the agricultural and forestry sectors.
• Institutional and regulatory barriers, such as the lack of a portfolio-based planning method at CFE and restrictive public procurement rules, hinder the adoption of low-carbon technologies despite their economic viability.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2009). México: Estudio sobre la disminución de emisiones de carbono. https://leap.sei.org/documents/MEDEC2009_ES.pdf

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. México: Estudio sobre la disminución de emisiones de carbono. 2009. https://leap.sei.org/documents/MEDEC2009_ES.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=México: Estudio sobre la disminución de emisiones de carbono |date=2009 |url=https://leap.sei.org/documents/MEDEC2009_ES.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2009mxico, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{México: Estudio sobre la disminución de emisiones de carbono}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2009}, url = {https://leap.sei.org/documents/MEDEC2009_ES.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }