NATIONAL REPORTS ON ENERGY EFFICIENCY POLICY SCENARIO ANALYSIS FOR THE RESIDENTIAL AND TRANSPORT SECTORS

The report finds that while Estonia's building sector is relatively well-controlled due to existing regulations, a 19% further reduction in energy consumption is needed to meet 2030 EU targets. In contrast, the transport sector's energy demand is projected to grow by 18% by 2030 under business-as-usual conditions, failing both national and EU targets. The most effective interventions identified are large-scale building shell renovations and the adoption of fuel-efficient, electric, and hybrid vehicles.

• In the buildings sector, the business-as-usual (BAU) scenario indicates that a 19% reduction in energy consumption is still required to meet the EU 2030 target of 1.23 Mtoe.
• The most impactful measure for the buildings sector is building shell improvement, which includes reconstruction and heating system upgrades. Achieving EU targets would require renovating 40% of single-family homes, 50% of multi-family homes, and 20% of tertiary buildings by 2030.
• The top three barriers hindering energy efficiency in Estonia's buildings sector are the lack of financial support, high costs and risks, and misleading energy or fuel prices.
• The transport sector's energy demand is projected to grow by 18% from 2010 to 2030 under the BAU scenario, driven by increased motorization, higher purchasing power, and road freight.
• Under the BAU scenario, transport emissions are projected to exceed the non-ETS target by 29.5%. However, a combined energy efficiency scenario (EE-T0) would reduce transport energy consumption by 7.3% by 2030 compared to 2010 and closely meet 2030 targets.
• The most effective transport policies for reaching 2030 targets are those encouraging fuel-efficient vehicles (including electric and hybrid), followed by integrated urban planning to manage personal mobility, freight demand management, modal shift in passenger transport, and eco-driving.
• Major barriers in the transport sector include limited finance and fiscal incentives, investment schemes that prioritize car-based solutions, perverse employee benefits for car use, limited public transport infrastructure, and a lack of integrated governance in urban planning.

APA

Kirsimaa, K., Jüssi, M., & Kuusk, K. (2017). NATIONAL REPORTS ON ENERGY EFFICIENCY POLICY SCENARIO ANALYSIS FOR THE RESIDENTIAL AND TRANSPORT SECTORS. Stockholm Environment Institute. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/annex-2-heron-wp4-d-4-1-ee.pdf

Chicago

Kirsimaa, Kerli, Mari Jüssi, and Kalle Kuusk. NATIONAL REPORTS ON ENERGY EFFICIENCY POLICY SCENARIO ANALYSIS FOR THE RESIDENTIAL AND TRANSPORT SECTORS. Stockholm Environment Institute, 2017. https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/annex-2-heron-wp4-d-4-1-ee.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |last1=Kirsimaa |first1=Kerli |last2=Jüssi |first2=Mari |last3=Kuusk |first3=Kalle |title=NATIONAL REPORTS ON ENERGY EFFICIENCY POLICY SCENARIO ANALYSIS FOR THE RESIDENTIAL AND TRANSPORT SECTORS |publisher=Stockholm Environment Institute |date=5 May 2017 |url=https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/annex-2-heron-wp4-d-4-1-ee.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{kirsimaa2017national, author = {Kirsimaa, Kerli and Jüssi, Mari and Kuusk, Kalle}, title = {{NATIONAL REPORTS ON ENERGY EFFICIENCY POLICY SCENARIO ANALYSIS FOR THE RESIDENTIAL AND TRANSPORT SECTORS}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2017}, month = may, url = {https://www.sei.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/annex-2-heron-wp4-d-4-1-ee.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }