A Copenhagen Prognosis: Towards a safe climate future

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The report argues that current greenhouse gas emission reduction targets are insufficient to prevent devastating climate impacts and self-amplifying warming. It asserts that to maintain a 75% chance of staying below 2°C, global emissions must decline rapidly after 2015 and reach essentially zero by midcentury, a goal it claims is technically feasible and economically affordable.

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  • Current greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction targets are inconsistent with the political goal of protecting humanity from high risks of devastating climate impacts and self-amplifying global warming.
  • To achieve a 75% probability of limiting warming to below 2°C, global GHG emissions must decrease extremely quickly after 2015 and reach nearly zero by the middle of the century.
  • Analytical research at global and regional levels indicates that achieving deep emission cuts is technically feasible, economically affordable, and potentially profitable.

Cite the original document

APA
S., K., C.K, S., R., M., N., N., V., R., J., R., H.J, S., L., S., & R., W. (2010). A Copenhagen Prognosis: Towards a safe climate future. Stockholm Environment Institute. https://www.sei.org/publications/copenhagen-prognosis-towards-safe-climate-future/
Chicago
S., Kartha,, Siebert, C.K, Mathur, R., Nakicenovic, N., Ramanathan, V., Rockström, J., Schellnhuber, H.J, Srivastava, L., and Watt, R. A Copenhagen Prognosis: Towards a safe climate future. Stockholm Environment Institute, 2010. https://www.sei.org/publications/copenhagen-prognosis-towards-safe-climate-future/.
Wikipedia
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BibTeX
@techreport{s2010copenhagen, author = {S., Kartha, and C.K, Siebert, and R., Mathur, and N., Nakicenovic, and V., Ramanathan, and J., Rockström, and H.J, Schellnhuber, and L., Srivastava, and R., Watt,}, title = {{A Copenhagen Prognosis: Towards a safe climate future}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2010}, month = jan, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/copenhagen-prognosis-towards-safe-climate-future/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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