Closing the fossil fuel production gap | SEI

This briefing from the Stockholm Environment Institute discusses the 'production gap,' where planned fossil fuel production exceeds the levels consistent with the Paris Agreement's temperature goals, potentially undermining global emission reduction efforts.

• Preliminary research indicates that global fossil fuel production by 2030 is projected to be 50% higher than what is consistent with a 2°C pathway and 120% higher than what is consistent with a 1.5°C pathway.
• The 'production gap' refers to the discrepancy between the continued expansion of coal, oil, and gas production and the limits of a 1.5°C or 2°C carbon budget, which risks locking in infrastructure that makes future emission reductions more expensive and difficult.
• Current climate pledges are insufficient to meet Paris Agreement goals, with current trajectories limiting warming to approximately 3°C by the end of the century; the UN Environment Emissions Gap Report suggests emission reduction pledges must be tripled for a 'well below' 2°C goal and increased fivefold for a 1.5°C scenario.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2019). Closing the fossil fuel production gap | SEI. https://www.sei.org/publications/production-gap/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Closing the fossil fuel production gap | SEI. 2019. https://www.sei.org/publications/production-gap/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Closing the fossil fuel production gap | SEI |date=18 September 2019 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/production-gap/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2019closing, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Closing the fossil fuel production gap | SEI}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2019}, month = sep, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/production-gap/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }