Closing the fossil fuel production gap | SEI

The document highlights a significant 'production gap' where planned fossil fuel production exceeds levels consistent with the Paris Agreement. Preliminary findings indicate that by 2030, the world is on track to produce 50% more fossil fuels than a 2°C pathway allows and 120% more than a 1.5°C pathway. This expansion risks locking in infrastructure that undermines emission reduction pledges and climate ambitions.

• There is a significant 'production gap' between the continued expansion of coal, oil, and gas production and the amounts that can be used within 1.5°C or 2°C carbon budgets, which risks locking in infrastructure that makes emission reductions more costly and difficult.
• Preliminary data suggests that by 2030, global fossil fuel production is projected to be 50% higher than what is consistent with a 2°C pathway and 120% higher than what is consistent with a 1.5°C pathway.
• Current national climate pledges are insufficient, as they are projected to limit global warming to approximately 3°C by the end of the century; meeting the Paris goal of 'well below' 2°C would require tripling emission reduction pledges, and a 1.5°C scenario would require a fivefold increase.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2019). Closing the fossil fuel production gap | SEI. https://www.sei.org/publications/production-gap/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Closing the fossil fuel production gap | SEI. 2019. https://www.sei.org/publications/production-gap/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Closing the fossil fuel production gap | SEI |date=18 September 2019 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/production-gap/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2019closing, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Closing the fossil fuel production gap | SEI}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2019}, month = sep, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/production-gap/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }