Global Environmental Scenarios

This research paper evaluates the diversity of six major global scenario sets used in climate research and policymaking to determine how effectively they span the uncertainty space of future environmental change.

• The paper employs scenario diversity analysis, a quantitative and transparent method, to evaluate six major global scenario sets. The results indicate that these sets generally perform well in terms of diversity.
• The authors identify potential trade-offs regarding the number of scenarios in a set and the methods used to build scenario architectures, specifically concerning the balance between covering a wide range of future possibilities and introducing redundancy.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2024). Global Environmental Scenarios. https://www.sei.org/publications/global-environmental-scenarios/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Global Environmental Scenarios. 2024. https://www.sei.org/publications/global-environmental-scenarios/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Global Environmental Scenarios |date=23 April 2024 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/global-environmental-scenarios/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2024global, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Global Environmental Scenarios}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2024}, month = apr, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/global-environmental-scenarios/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }