Uncertainty analysis UK MRIO model results: Monte Carlo analysis UK multi-region input-output model embedded carbon dioxide emissions indicator

The document describes an extension to the 'Embedded Carbon Emissions Indicator' project, specifically focusing on the uncertainty analysis of a UK-MRIO model. The study employs a Monte-Carlo analysis to determine error margins for direct and indirect carbon dioxide emissions associated with UK economic activities and trade. The process involved reviewing standard deviations of constraints, estimating input-output (IO) table uncertainties from constraints and matrix balancing, and calculating error propagation for embedded emissions. The report notes that such a thorough uncertainty analysis is rare in environmental MRIO studies.

• The report implements a Monte-Carlo analysis to quantify error margins and test the sensitivity of the UK-MRIO model system regarding parameter uncertainty.
• The uncertainty analysis methodology consisted of five primary steps: reviewing standard deviation estimates for constraints, estimating IO table uncertainties from those constraints and from matrix balancing, using Monte-Carlo simulations for multiplier uncertainties, and calculating error propagation for embedded emissions.
• The authors state that no other environmental multi-region input-output (MRIO) study has previously conducted an uncertainty analysis of this level of thoroughness.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2009). Uncertainty analysis UK MRIO model results: Monte Carlo analysis UK multi-region input-output model embedded carbon dioxide emissions indicator. https://www.sei.org/publications/uncertainty-analysis-uk-mrio-model-results-monte-carlo-analysis-uk-multi-region-input-output-model-embedded-carbon-dioxide-emissions-indicator/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Uncertainty analysis UK MRIO model results: Monte Carlo analysis UK multi-region input-output model embedded carbon dioxide emissions indicator. 2009. https://www.sei.org/publications/uncertainty-analysis-uk-mrio-model-results-monte-carlo-analysis-uk-multi-region-input-output-model-embedded-carbon-dioxide-emissions-indicator/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Uncertainty analysis UK MRIO model results: Monte Carlo analysis UK multi-region input-output model embedded carbon dioxide emissions indicator |date=20 January 2009 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/uncertainty-analysis-uk-mrio-model-results-monte-carlo-analysis-uk-multi-region-input-output-model-embedded-carbon-dioxide-emissions-indicator/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2009uncertainty, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Uncertainty analysis UK MRIO model results: Monte Carlo analysis UK multi-region input-output model embedded carbon dioxide emissions indicator}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2009}, month = jan, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/uncertainty-analysis-uk-mrio-model-results-monte-carlo-analysis-uk-multi-region-input-output-model-embedded-carbon-dioxide-emissions-indicator/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }