Transport electrification effect of recent battery cost reduction and future emission scenarios

This research paper examines how battery cost floors and climate policies influence the global adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and the resulting impact on passenger road-transport emissions.

• The model indicates that electric vehicles only achieve a significant global car sales share of 15% or more when battery costs drop to 100 $/kWh or lower, suggesting that the success of policy incentives is heavily dependent on these battery floor costs.
• Battery costs for electric vehicles have decreased more rapidly in recent years than empirical literature had previously estimated, leading to adjustments in future cost projections and highlighting the uncertainty of cost development for the low-carbon transport transition.
• Integrated assessment models indicate that the transport sector faces greater challenges in reducing greenhouse gas emissions compared to other sectors, though transitioning to electric vehicles could lead to a significant reduction in passenger road-transport emissions.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2018). Transport electrification effect of recent battery cost reduction and future emission scenarios. https://www.sei.org/publications/transport-electrification-effect-recent-battery-cost-reduction-future-emission-scenarios/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Transport electrification effect of recent battery cost reduction and future emission scenarios. 2018. https://www.sei.org/publications/transport-electrification-effect-recent-battery-cost-reduction-future-emission-scenarios/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Transport electrification effect of recent battery cost reduction and future emission scenarios |date=11 September 2018 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/transport-electrification-effect-recent-battery-cost-reduction-future-emission-scenarios/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2018transport, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Transport electrification effect of recent battery cost reduction and future emission scenarios}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2018}, month = sep, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/transport-electrification-effect-recent-battery-cost-reduction-future-emission-scenarios/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }