Transitions Model for Sustainable Mobility

This research paper describes a model for assessing transitions to sustainable mobility, combining agent-based modelling with system dynamics to evaluate different societal pathways.

• The model utilizes a dual-level agent structure, consisting of a small number of complex agents that function as subsystems within society and a larger number of simple agents.
• Analysis based on UK data indicates that while Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles (FCVs) may dominate in the long term after 2030, biofuels and Internal Combustion Engine (ICE)-electric hybrids are the primary alternatives for the next 10–30 years due to their existing development and compatibility with current infrastructure.
• The model suggests that technological transitions are the most probable outcome, whereas transitions based on lifestyle changes necessitate behavioral changes from consumers and sustained environmental pressure on society.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2010). Transitions Model for Sustainable Mobility. https://www.sei.org/publications/transitions-model-sustainable-mobility/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Transitions Model for Sustainable Mobility. 2010. https://www.sei.org/publications/transitions-model-sustainable-mobility/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Transitions Model for Sustainable Mobility |date=8 January 2010 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/transitions-model-sustainable-mobility/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2010transitions, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Transitions Model for Sustainable Mobility}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2010}, month = jan, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/transitions-model-sustainable-mobility/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }