Global to small island; a cross-scale foresight scenario exercise | SEI

This research paper presents a method for linking regional socio-economic scenarios in the Caribbean to global climate narratives (RCPs and SSPs). Applying this to the Barbados tourism sector under RCP 4.5, the study found that varying socio-economic conditions result in a 17% difference between the highest and lowest estimated hotel water demand.

• The authors developed four regional exploratory socio-economic scenarios for the Caribbean that are partially consistent with global scenarios, and further created national storylines for four island states based on these regional scenarios.
• Using RCP 4.5 to estimate hotel water demand in Barbados across three compatible regional scenarios, the study found a 17% difference between the highest and lowest estimated water demand, demonstrating that socio-economic factors significantly impact water demand.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2020). Global to small island; a cross-scale foresight scenario exercise | SEI. https://www.sei.org/publications/global-small-island-foresight/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Global to small island; a cross-scale foresight scenario exercise | SEI. 2020. https://www.sei.org/publications/global-small-island-foresight/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Global to small island; a cross-scale foresight scenario exercise | SEI |date=9 September 2020 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/global-small-island-foresight/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2020global, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Global to small island; a cross-scale foresight scenario exercise | SEI}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2020}, month = sep, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/global-small-island-foresight/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }