Global to small island; a cross-scale foresight scenario exercise | SEI

The study developed four regional socio-economic scenarios for the Caribbean and national storylines for four island states, linking them to global Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs). When applied to hotel water demand in Barbados using RCP 4.5, the analysis revealed a 17% difference between the highest and lowest estimated water demand based on varying socio-economic conditions.

• The researchers developed four regional exploratory socio-economic scenarios for the Caribbean and national storylines for four island states, linking these to global Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs).
• Applying these scenarios to the Barbados tourism sector using RCP 4.5 showed that socio-economic factors significantly impact water demand, with a 17% variance between the highest and lowest estimates.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2020). Global to small island; a cross-scale foresight scenario exercise | SEI. https://www.sei.org/publications/global-small-island-foresight/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Global to small island; a cross-scale foresight scenario exercise | SEI. 2020. https://www.sei.org/publications/global-small-island-foresight/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Global to small island; a cross-scale foresight scenario exercise | SEI |date=9 September 2020 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/global-small-island-foresight/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2020global, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Global to small island; a cross-scale foresight scenario exercise | SEI}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2020}, month = sep, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/global-small-island-foresight/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }