Climate change scenario services

The authors argue that the potential of climate change scenarios to inform policy strategies for limiting global warming is hindered by a lack of intermediary guidance services. To address this, they propose a 'climate change scenario service' framework designed to improve the salience, credibility, and legitimacy of these scenarios. The paper introduces the SENSES toolkit as a practical implementation of this concept, focusing primarily on mitigation scenarios while also providing materials for adaptation scenarios and impact projections.

• The utility of climate change scenarios in supporting the Paris Agreement's goal of limiting warming to well below 2°C is currently limited because there is no intermediary service to provide necessary guidance.
• The proposed climate change scenario service is intended to increase the legitimacy, credibility, and salience of scenarios for a wider range of decision makers and societal actors.
• The SENSES toolkit implements the scenario service concept, prioritizing mitigation scenarios due to their lack of representation in climate services, though it also includes adaptation scenarios and impact projections.

APA

Stockholm Environment Institute (2021). Climate change scenario services. https://www.sei.org/publications/climate-change-scenario-services/

Chicago

Stockholm Environment Institute. Climate change scenario services. 2021. https://www.sei.org/publications/climate-change-scenario-services/.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Stockholm Environment Institute |title=Climate change scenario services |date=26 August 2021 |url=https://www.sei.org/publications/climate-change-scenario-services/ |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{stockholmenvironmentinstitute2021climate, author = {{Stockholm Environment Institute}}, title = {{Climate change scenario services}}, institution = {Stockholm Environment Institute}, year = {2021}, month = aug, url = {https://www.sei.org/publications/climate-change-scenario-services/}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }