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The Reinventing Fire industry model uses a stock-flow framework and EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2010 data to simulate the adoption of energy-saving measures in the U.S. industrial sector from 2010 to 2050. It tracks energy consumption, fuel expenditures, and capital investment across various manufacturing and non-manufacturing industries. The model incorporates efficient technologies, combined heat and power (CHP), waste-heat-to-electricity, and integrative design for machine drives, while accounting for refining transformations as demand shifts toward biofuels and hydrogen.

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  • The industry model utilizes a stock-flow framework based on EIA's Annual Energy Outlook 2010 (AEO) to simulate a 'business-as-usual' (BAU) baseline for industrial production capacity turnover and energy consumption from 2010 to 2050. It disaggregates data across numerous manufacturing sectors (such as iron and steel, cement, and chemicals) and non-manufacturing sectors (including mining, construction, and refining).
  • Energy efficiency and CHP measures are modeled with the assumption that real costs and relative savings remain constant from 2010 to 2050, based on the premise that energy efficiency is not a diminishing resource and continues to grow through innovation.
  • The model estimates a 17.3% savings potential for integrative design in machine drive systems. This figure is derived from a universal 80% savings opportunity in fluid-handling systems (pumps, fans, and compressed air), which is then reduced by subtracting AEO spontaneous efficiency savings (19.4%) and LBNL motor measures savings (10%).
  • Technology adoption for energy efficiency is constrained by BAU capacity stock turnover, utilizing a linear ramp-up from 2011 to 2030 to reach a default adoption rate of 85%. In contrast, waste-heat-to-electricity measures are adopted at half the rate of efficiency measures and are capped at approximately 40% of the technical potential estimated by LBNL.
  • Refining transformations in the model are driven by shifting liquid fuel demands, where transportation shifts toward biofuels (based on NREL's cellulosic ethanol from corn stover process) and hydrogen (based on H2Gen distributed natural gas reforming).

Cite the original document

APA
RMI (n.d.). Reinventing Fire Industry Sector Methodology. https://rmi.org/app/uploads/2017/05/RMI_Document_Repository_Public-Reprts_2011-15_RFindustrysectormethodology.pdf
Chicago
RMI. Reinventing Fire Industry Sector Methodology. n.d. https://rmi.org/app/uploads/2017/05/RMI_Document_Repository_Public-Reprts_2011-15_RFindustrysectormethodology.pdf.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=RMI |title=Reinventing Fire Industry Sector Methodology |url=https://rmi.org/app/uploads/2017/05/RMI_Document_Repository_Public-Reprts_2011-15_RFindustrysectormethodology.pdf |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{rmindreinventing, author = {{RMI}}, title = {{Reinventing Fire Industry Sector Methodology}}, institution = {RMI}, url = {https://rmi.org/app/uploads/2017/05/RMI_Document_Repository_Public-Reprts_2011-15_RFindustrysectormethodology.pdf}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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