SCÉNARIOS CLIMATIQUES

The document argues that many climate scenarios used by financial actors and large companies serve as tools for greenwashing by underestimating renewable energy and relying on improbable negative emissions to justify continued fossil fuel investment.

• Many actors claim their scenarios are aligned with the Paris Agreement, but in reality, they use less ambitious models that lead to warming exceeding 2°C rather than the 1.5°C goal.
• A significant portion of climate scenarios ignore approximately 30% of global emissions by focusing only on CO2 from fossil fuel combustion, omitting methane (15%), deforestation (10%), and nitrous oxide (6%).
• Scenarios often rely on the improbable mass deployment of carbon capture and storage technologies to justify maintaining high greenhouse gas emissions and fossil fuel use.
• Climate scenarios chronically underestimate the potential and role of renewable energies in the global energy mix, which encourages the continued development of fossil fuels.
• Financial actors are urged to exit fossil fuels by 2040 in Europe and 2050 elsewhere for oil and gas, and 10 years earlier for coal, while immediately stopping financing for new projects.

APA

Reclaim Finance (n.d.). SCÉNARIOS CLIMATIQUES. https://reclaimfinance.org/site/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/InfoV4_FR.pdf

Chicago

Reclaim Finance. SCÉNARIOS CLIMATIQUES. n.d. https://reclaimfinance.org/site/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/InfoV4_FR.pdf.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=Reclaim Finance |title=SCÉNARIOS CLIMATIQUES |url=https://reclaimfinance.org/site/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/InfoV4_FR.pdf |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{reclaimfinancendscnarios, author = {{Reclaim Finance}}, title = {{SCÉNARIOS CLIMATIQUES}}, institution = {Reclaim Finance}, url = {https://reclaimfinance.org/site/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/InfoV4_FR.pdf}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }