NDC Update Report

The report argues that to meet the Paris Agreement's long-term temperature goals, most countries must reach net-zero emissions by 2050 or shortly thereafter, requiring immediate sector-specific planning. It identifies five critical sectors—power, industry, transport, buildings, and agriculture, forestry and other land-use—and warns that delaying strategic choices until after 2030 risks 'carbon lock-in' and inefficient, costly infrastructure transitions. The document advocates for a multi-disciplinary approach to planning, combining scenario modelling to translate global goals into feasible policies, Political Economy Analysis (PEA) to navigate stakeholder interests and political feasibility, and a focus on transparency, finance, and governance to mobilise investment and ensure systemic implementation.

• To align with the Paris Agreement, global decarbonisation must occur by 2050 or shortly thereafter, meaning sector transformations must be well underway by 2030.
• Strategic decisions regarding decarbonisation options in the power, industry, transport, buildings, and agriculture and land-use sectors must be made before 2030 to avoid path-dependency and the risk of locking countries into sub-optimal pathways.
• Effective sector transition planning requires a combination of scenario modelling to explore future developments and Political Economy Analysis (PEA) to understand the political dynamics and stakeholder interests that influence the feasibility of technical actions.
• To establish the foundations for a net-zero future by 2050, specific governance enablers must be implemented by 2025, including a clear long-term vision, upgraded systemic governance capacities, the integration of decarbonisation with sustainable development, and clear implementation plans in revised NDCs.
• There is a significant risk that updated NDCs will prioritise intermediate targets over robust long-term strategies, potentially leading to pathways that are insufficiently ambitious to achieve full decarbonisation across sectors.

APA

NewClimate Institute (2019). NDC Update Report. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/ndc-update-report-june-2019-sector-decarbonisation-pathways-from-different

Chicago

NewClimate Institute. NDC Update Report. 2019. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/ndc-update-report-june-2019-sector-decarbonisation-pathways-from-different.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=NewClimate Institute |title=NDC Update Report |date=12 June 2019 |url=http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/ndc-update-report-june-2019-sector-decarbonisation-pathways-from-different |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{newclimateinstitute2019ndc, author = {{NewClimate Institute}}, title = {{NDC Update Report}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2019}, month = jun, url = {http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/ndc-update-report-june-2019-sector-decarbonisation-pathways-from-different}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }