Climate Action Tracker Global Update: Glasgow’s 2030 Credibility Gap

The Climate Action Tracker identifies a 'credibility gap' where current policies lead to 2.7°C of warming, while even the fulfillment of all 2030 targets would result in 2.4°C. Despite 90% of global emissions being covered by net zero targets, only 6% are rated as 'acceptable', and no analyzed country has sufficient short-term policies to reach its net zero goal. The report highlights the continued expansion of coal and natural gas as primary drivers of this failure.

• There is a significant discrepancy between current policy outcomes and target-based projections: current policies put the world on track for 2.7°C of warming by 2100, whereas meeting all 2030 targets would still result in 2.4°C.
• While approximately 90% of global emissions are covered by net zero targets, the quality of these commitments is low; only 6% of global emissions are covered by countries with an 'acceptable' net zero rating, and no analyzed country has the short-term policies necessary to achieve its target.
• The continued reliance on and expansion of coal and natural gas are primary obstacles to the Paris Agreement goals. Coal must be phased out of the OECD power sector by 2030 and globally by 2040, yet pipelines remain active in China, India, Indonesia, and Viet Nam. Similarly, CO2 emissions from gas grew by 9% in the six years following the Paris Agreement.
• Progress on Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) has been insufficient, with improvements over the last year reducing the 2030 emissions gap by only 15-17%. Some nations, including Australia, Indonesia, Russia, Singapore, Switzerland, Thailand, and Viet Nam, resubmitted targets identical to those from 2015, while Brazil and Mexico submitted less ambitious targets.

APA

NewClimate Institute (2021). Climate Action Tracker Global Update: Glasgow’s 2030 Credibility Gap. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/climate-action-tracker-global-update-glasgows-2030-credibility-gap-net-zeros

Chicago

NewClimate Institute. Climate Action Tracker Global Update: Glasgow’s 2030 Credibility Gap. 2021. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/climate-action-tracker-global-update-glasgows-2030-credibility-gap-net-zeros.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=NewClimate Institute |title=Climate Action Tracker Global Update: Glasgow’s 2030 Credibility Gap |date=10 November 2021 |url=http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/climate-action-tracker-global-update-glasgows-2030-credibility-gap-net-zeros |access-date=23 October 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{newclimateinstitute2021climate, author = {{NewClimate Institute}}, title = {{Climate Action Tracker Global Update: Glasgow’s 2030 Credibility Gap}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2021}, month = nov, url = {http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/climate-action-tracker-global-update-glasgows-2030-credibility-gap-net-zeros}, urldate = {2026-10-23}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }