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Was kostet ein Verfehlen des 2030 Klimaziels im Verkehrssektor

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This briefing by the NewClimate Institute analyzes the potential monetary costs for the German federal government if greenhouse gas emission reduction targets for the transport sector are not met by 2030.

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  • Failure to meet greenhouse gas emission targets in the German transport sector between 2021 and 2030 could result in payments ranging from 3 to 36 billion euros. Germany's overall commitment is to reduce national greenhouse gas emissions by 55% by 2030 compared to 1990 levels. Specifically, for emissions not covered by the EU Emissions Trading System—primarily transport, buildings, and agriculture—Germany is bound to a 38% reduction by 2030 compared to 2005 levels, moving from 465 to 296 MtCO2eq. For the transport sector specifically, the federal government planned a CO2 reduction of 40% to 42% by 2030 relative to 1990.
  • If targets are not met through national mitigation measures, Germany's primary option is to purchase excess emission rights from other EU member states, with an assumed price between 20 and 100 EUR/tCO2. Failure to offset the deficit would lead to an EU infringement procedure. The cost of purchasing these rights depends on the effectiveness of additional climate protection measures: if no additional measures are taken, costs range from 7 to nearly 36 billion euros; if measures achieve half of the necessary reduction, costs are approximately 5 to 26 billion euros; and if they achieve three-quarters of the reduction, costs are approximately 3 to 16 billion euros.
  • Payments resulting from missing climate targets would benefit either the EU as a whole (in the case of penalty payments during an infringement procedure) or another government that over-fulfilled its targets and can sell excess emission rights. Conversely, investing the same amount in national climate protection would benefit the national economy and avoid further payments after 2030 through lower emissions.

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APA
NewClimate Institute (2019). Was kostet ein Verfehlen des 2030 Klimaziels im Verkehrssektor. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/was-kostet-ein-verfehlen-des-2030-klimaziels-im-verkehrssektor-german
Chicago
NewClimate Institute. Was kostet ein Verfehlen des 2030 Klimaziels im Verkehrssektor. 2019. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/was-kostet-ein-verfehlen-des-2030-klimaziels-im-verkehrssektor-german.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=NewClimate Institute |title=Was kostet ein Verfehlen des 2030 Klimaziels im Verkehrssektor |date=6 March 2019 |url=http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/was-kostet-ein-verfehlen-des-2030-klimaziels-im-verkehrssektor-german |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{newclimateinstitute2019was, author = {{NewClimate Institute}}, title = {{Was kostet ein Verfehlen des 2030 Klimaziels im Verkehrssektor}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2019}, month = mar, url = {http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/was-kostet-ein-verfehlen-des-2030-klimaziels-im-verkehrssektor-german}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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