Climate Action Tracker briefing: No change to warming as fossil fuel endgame

The Climate Action Tracker finds that warming projections have not improved since 2021, with current government 2030 targets leading to 2.5°C of warming. The briefing argues that 'abated' fossil fuel strategies and techno-fixes like CCS are insufficient, calling instead for a full fossil fuel phase-out and specific 'must haves' for 2035 NDCs, including tripling renewables and cutting fossil fuel production by 40% by 2030.

• Current government 2030 targets are projected to result in 2.5°C of warming by the end of the century, which is 0.1°C higher than the previous year's estimate. This increase is attributed to weak existing targets rather than changes in new Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) updates.
• Warming projections under different scenarios remain high: binding net zero targets (Pledges and targets) suggest 2.1°C, the 'Optimistic scenario' suggests 1.8°C, and the 'Policies and action' scenario suggests 2.7°C, the latter being unchanged since 2021.

APA

NewClimate Institute (2023). Climate Action Tracker briefing: No change to warming as fossil fuel endgame. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/climate-action-tracker-briefing-no-change-to-warming-as-fossil-fuel-endgame

Chicago

NewClimate Institute. Climate Action Tracker briefing: No change to warming as fossil fuel endgame. 2023. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/climate-action-tracker-briefing-no-change-to-warming-as-fossil-fuel-endgame.

Wikipedia

{{cite report |author=NewClimate Institute |title=Climate Action Tracker briefing: No change to warming as fossil fuel endgame |date=5 December 2023 |url=http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/climate-action-tracker-briefing-no-change-to-warming-as-fossil-fuel-endgame |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}

BibTeX

@techreport{newclimateinstitute2023climate, author = {{NewClimate Institute}}, title = {{Climate Action Tracker briefing: No change to warming as fossil fuel endgame}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2023}, month = dec, url = {http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/climate-action-tracker-briefing-no-change-to-warming-as-fossil-fuel-endgame}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }