Transition risks for Argentina’s agricultural sector

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The report examines the tension between Argentina's agri-export model and its goal of carbon neutrality by 2050, noting that the agricultural sector accounts for 37% of national greenhouse gas emissions. While domestic stakeholders perceive low risk from GHG mitigation commitments, the study warns that an EU carbon tariff on agricultural imports would significantly decrease the competitiveness of Argentine soybean derivatives and bovine meat, leading to adverse impacts on GDP and employment.

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  • Argentina's agricultural sector is central to its economy, providing over 65% of total export revenues in 2020, but it also contributes 37% of the nation's total greenhouse gas emissions.
  • There is a conflict between Argentina's goal to increase agricultural output for soybean derivatives and bovine meat and its stated climate ambition to reach carbon neutrality by 2050.
  • Stakeholders in the cropping, dairy, and livestock sectors generally do not expect stricter domestic GHG commitments and perceive the economic risks from climate action in third countries, such as the EU, as low.
  • Modelling indicates that an EU carbon tariff covering agricultural imports would disrupt global trade and cause significant negative impacts on Argentina's GDP and domestic employment due to reduced EU demand for bovine meat and soybean derivatives.

Cite the original document

APA
NewClimate Institute (2021). Transition risks for Argentina’s agricultural sector. https://newclimate.org/resources/publications/working-paper-transition-risks-for-argentinas-agricultural-sector
Chicago
NewClimate Institute. Transition risks for Argentina’s agricultural sector. 2021. https://newclimate.org/resources/publications/working-paper-transition-risks-for-argentinas-agricultural-sector.
Wikipedia
{{cite report |author=NewClimate Institute |title=Transition risks for Argentina’s agricultural sector |date=5 November 2021 |url=https://newclimate.org/resources/publications/working-paper-transition-risks-for-argentinas-agricultural-sector |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
BibTeX
@techreport{newclimateinstitute2021transition, author = {{NewClimate Institute}}, title = {{Transition risks for Argentina’s agricultural sector}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2021}, month = nov, url = {https://newclimate.org/resources/publications/working-paper-transition-risks-for-argentinas-agricultural-sector}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }

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