1,5°C - was Deutschland tun muss
Summary
The analysis finds that Germany's current climate targets are incompatible with the 1.5°C limit, potentially leading to 20% to 130% more emissions than allowed by mid-century. To be indisputably compatible and meet its global responsibility, the report argues Germany must reduce emissions to zero by 2030. It further notes that failing to meet the 2020 target of a 40% reduction has already consumed approximately 10% of Germany's 1.5°C budget for 2010-2050, necessitating a steeper future reduction path.
Key insights
- Germany's current climate protection goals are not compatible with the 1.5°C limit. Following the federal government's current target path would result in greenhouse gas emissions between 20% and 130% higher than what is permitted for 1.5°C by the middle of the century. The goal of "broad greenhouse gas neutrality by the middle of the century" from the Climate Action Plan 2050 is insufficient on its own; the speed of emission reductions between 2020 and 2040 is the critical factor.
- To be indisputably compatible with the 1.5°C limit and fulfill its global responsibility, Germany must reduce its greenhouse gas emissions to zero by 2030. Even in scenarios that are only partially compatible with 1.5°C, emissions must drop by at least 70% compared to 1990 levels by 2030, and by at least 85% by 2040. When accounting for historical emissions and responsibility, Germany's allocated greenhouse gas budget is already exhausted.
- The failure to achieve the 2020 climate target of a 40% emission reduction jeopardizes the 1.5°C limit. These additional emissions represent approximately 10% of Germany's 1.5°C budget for the period from 2010 to 2050. Consequently, Germany must implement a steeper reduction path at a later date to avoid exceeding its budget.
Cite the original document
- APA
- NewClimate Institute (2019). 1,5°C - was Deutschland tun muss. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/15degc-was-deutschland-tun-muss
- Chicago
- NewClimate Institute. 1,5°C - was Deutschland tun muss. 2019. http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/15degc-was-deutschland-tun-muss.
- Wikipedia
- {{cite report |author=NewClimate Institute |title=1,5°C - was Deutschland tun muss |date=14 March 2019 |url=http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/15degc-was-deutschland-tun-muss |access-date=17 August 2026 |via=Climate Insights Directory}}
- BibTeX
- @techreport{newclimateinstitute201915c, author = {{NewClimate Institute}}, title = {{1,5°C - was Deutschland tun muss}}, institution = {NewClimate Institute}, year = {2019}, month = mar, url = {http://www.newclimate.org/resources/publications/15degc-was-deutschland-tun-muss}, urldate = {2026-08-17}, note = {Indexed by Climate Insights Directory} }
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